iGRXY
Member
CAMS look pretty good as well.
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Wintry February 6th-7th
- Thread starter Storm5
- Start date
Jessy89
Member
Chris Justice did a Facebook live and still playing it safe. Might see a burst of snow in upstate but mostly a mountain event.
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Clem282340
Member
got any maps to post
Snownut
Member
There are some light and dark blues as you get near hwy 11
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
That was 6Z. 12Z I posted.
iGRXY
Member
Stephenb888
Member
I wouldn’t say he’s playing it safe. This is likely a non event in the upstate. The warm nose will win out as always.
Snownut
Member
Not even getting precip up into Virginia? Then again, this model is trash, so meh.
iGRXY
Member
The warm nose has no outcome of whether we see wintry weather. It determines what kind we will see. The freezing level below the warm nose is very thick and the front end thump of snow is on every model now. He's playing conservative and this easily could be a small event in the upstate.
NorthGaWinter4
Member
Good call. I think you could include north Forsyth in 1-2”
Snownut
Member
You can't really say a non event for the upstate when hwy 11 is Upstate and will see snow. That's the thing when we refer to the upstate, not everyone in the upstate lives in the same area
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I’m betting on the warm nose arriving much quicker then modeled meaning quicker transitioning to IP/rain for those outside the mountains
Jessy89
Member
I’m still considering booking a room in Maggie valley Saturday night. I work till 12noon but if I can get left out by 1pm I should be good Maggie valley in a good spot. Plus Joey’s pancakes
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Unfortunately, this is usually a good bet.
Snownut
Member
I could very easily see this being a Sleet fest for a lot. Not sure what state or areas you are referring to here. But I. Referring to the upstate north of 85
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packfan98
Moderator
NW trend so far on the 12z suite. Always bet the streak. Looks good to be marginal with a dusting to 1/2” for most areas outside the mountains. Keeping my fingers crossed for something more significant next week.
Hey at least many areas along and north of 85 could see a decent burst of snow to start out (if you don’t start out as sleet lol) but yeah those 700mb warm noses are disgusting, IP/RN we go !
And I bet even the mountains will have some mixing issues as well. Maybe not at the higher elevations. This setup isn't ideal for anything significant, unless you're in VA. Remember it's going to warm up into the mid 40's for most on Sunday afternoon, with sunshine. So even if we get a dusting, it'll be gone by 3pm. I wish I could be proven wrong but this just isn't big deal for the majority of us.