Why?I would highly advise you to take a peek at the nam 3k. I think that may have a better handle of this atm
All the models including ensembles who have seen this storm paint a similar picture but in different locations .. a semi thin stripe that sets up where rates are good and temps are marginal enough .. makes for a good paste event but also makes for a very hard to track storm ... lots of ups and downs with this one I’m sure .. a good appetizer for the King Kong event
From previous experience i thought the 3k nam had better thermals?Why?
Banter....help me out here Charlie!!Side note , King Kong 100 percent has to be the thread name for next weeks storm .
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You’re at the end of its range so no. The 3K should not be looked at. You’re right in the 12K perfect range.From previous experience i thought the 3k nam had better thermals?
It did and then they had it offline till 12z today. So who knows what it was seeing all along past couple days. It cant be worse than what its replacing.If this works out gonna have to really start looking at the new GFS more, it picked it up first I believe. Would be another score
Well, it was only the northwest periphery of the precipitation field that was snow. The precip field itself was much more expansive to the south and east.I’m trying to figure out what’s going on w such a narrow band when it appears precip shield is much larger. Anyone??
Yeah I'm fairly certain @57 it wasn't showing snow with the last system. It maybe right but I'm looking at v16, ensembles and NAM just starting to latch on...trends not bad.From previous experience i thought the 3k nam had better thermals?
What's this mean?Around Montgomery. Oh buddy....
The storm itself has been there for a while. People just wanted to look at the D10 shiny object, I guess, haha. However, this is the first run of any model I’ve seen that’s showed snow for CAE, MCN, etc. Most other modeling has confined potential snow to portions of NC.How does this go from out of nowhere to this and it’s 3 days away?
I love it but will likely mean instant doom I fear.....Side note , King Kong 100 percent has to be the thread name for next weeks storm .
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