Pattern February 2024

[Wild Weather Monger]

Southern stream wave on the Spire is a Boss

View attachment 143491

Not to mention the mega ridge from the Midwest to top of Greenland.

 

[KyloG]

Legit block…I want to see some fantasy snow on this run

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Legit block…I want to see some fantasy snow on this run

View attachment 143495

Atlantic side did it’s job this run, nicely, but the wave out west didn’t get a good kicker so it looks stuck

 

[Webberweather53]

This is the kind of pattern where things are much more likely to sneak up on you in the medium range. Best to just recognize the pattern is there & hope for the best when it comes to stochastic synoptic-scale bounces.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is nice to see. Goal imo is getting as much dumping on the eastern side of the omega block for a valid enough cold source, can worry about the actual S/S wave itself later

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Gefs 3 run trend, after some meh runs last night. Definitely gonna be some hits this run. At H5 looking like it’s gonna be the best run yet but we are about to see

 

[griteater]

This is nice to see. Goal imo is getting as much dumping on the eastern side of the omega block for a valid enough cold source, can worry about the actual S/S wave itself later View attachment 143496

Another goal would be for us (me included) to just bypass the GFS Op run at range and stick with the GEFS lol

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Looks like the first run outa any ens closing something off around maine/ SE Canada

 

[KyloG]

Really a shame we don’t have just a smidge more cold air

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

Had a couple of hits on the GEFS

Sent from my SM-A136U1 using Tapatalk

 

[NCSNOW]

Atlantic side did it’s job this run, nicely, but the wave out west didn’t get a good kicker so it looks stuck

Funny not one has even come close to getting cut off out there all winter. But the one time we get the Atlantic lined up right... fill in the blank!!

 

[CaryWx]

Another goal would be for us (me included) to just bypass the GFS Op run at range and stick with the GEFS lol

Op's got to come in sometime though grit

 

[Chazwin]

Op's got to come in sometime though grit

Yeah within about 6-7 days on the EURO, 4-5 days on the GFS

 

[SnowNiner]

Really a shame we don’t have just a smidge more cold air

View attachment 143499

May need a big smidg?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[CaryWx]

Now you had to go and post this

 

[SD]

View attachment 143509View attachment 143510

Not cold enough

 

[Stormlover]

That's the time

 

[griteater]

Model Performance Stats over the last 30 days - 500mb - Northern Hemisphere - Forecast Day 3, 5, 7

Source: https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/users/verification/global/gfs/ops/grid2grid_all_models/acc/

GFS lowest among GFS, Euro, CMC, UKMet (and JMA at Day 3)

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Dang