The Euro control is the new DGEX.For fun. Atlanta peeps are going to like this from the Euro weeklies control.
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Pattern February 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
@NickyBGuarantee ? ? ? ? ?For fun. Atlanta peeps are going to like this from the Euro weeklies control.
SnowNiner
Member
For fun. Atlanta peeps are going to like this from the Euro weeklies control.
What does the regular Ext mean show? I'm curious. With such a crazy good H5 I would hope it would be significant. I really do hope that pattern materializes, I think it's been since 2010 we've had full HL blocking up top and a full troughed east coast and 50/50.
I wish we had a Euro Monthlies control. Do we have one of those?
NoSnowATL
Member
This
is
more
likely
is
more
likely
I don't have a clue what Spire weather is but I like it lol
NoSnowATL
Member
Its a made up model that only shows good stuff.
Lawd she comin
Since we are going to analyze 2mTs on the euro at day 10 I'm not sure that being too warm would be the issue nc would have in that setup. It's a pretty classic whiff to the south and east
griteater
Member
February Playbook:
Feb 5: Winter storm chance possible
Feb 1-10: Low pressure replaced with High pressure in East Asia
Feb 10-15: Momentum added into the Pac Jet; Aleutian Low swells and moves east; SW trough kicks east; AK and/or GLand Blocking Increases
Feb 15-25: Southern stream becomes more active; Chances for winter storm or 2 increases
Late Feb into Early Mar: Favorable pattern continues for the most part; favorable MJO phases
Possible Outcomes: Glory Delivered! / Can Kickage / Fail Boat
Euro Weeklies Feb 6 to Mar 12 in 7-day increments
Feb 5: Winter storm chance possible
Feb 1-10: Low pressure replaced with High pressure in East Asia
Feb 10-15: Momentum added into the Pac Jet; Aleutian Low swells and moves east; SW trough kicks east; AK and/or GLand Blocking Increases
Feb 15-25: Southern stream becomes more active; Chances for winter storm or 2 increases
Late Feb into Early Mar: Favorable pattern continues for the most part; favorable MJO phases
Possible Outcomes: Glory Delivered! / Can Kickage / Fail Boat
Euro Weeklies Feb 6 to Mar 12 in 7-day increments
weatherfide
Member
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That's a machine learning weather model. Basically an AI model that analyzes all kinds of atmospheric data points and conditions and then spits out an extrapolation based on the likely outcomes of those conditions. It's basically a super ensemble mean as it doesn't "model" the dynamics of the atmosphere. This is from my quick Google search.
producing a well known likely outcome, a *checks notes* OKC to Charleston slider
griteater
Member
Southern stream wave on the Spire is a Boss
Might have to sign up for wxbell just for this. Lord this thing needs a wx only fans
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
2010 is a good example of what this year’s MJO may do over the next several weeks or so.
A very slow grind thru the western hemisphere and Indian Ocean, that takes until late March or so to reach the Maritime Continent as -NAO likely rages on.
A very slow grind thru the western hemisphere and Indian Ocean, that takes until late March or so to reach the Maritime Continent as -NAO likely rages on.
Ron Burgundy
Member
Hey, we got that coming to us after last week! ?
griteater
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The coupling with El Niño, -NAO, collapse of the +IOD, descending easterly QBO, and our current timing in the seasonal cycle (time of the year where the MJO tends to be at its strongest), and some of the S2S models, all point to a very slow-moving MJO event across the western hemisphere and Indian Ocean the next 2 months.
Feels to me like we’ve stacked the deck towards this kind of scenario where legit S2S forcing in favor of warmer temps doesn’t appear until the latter half of March or so
Feels to me like we’ve stacked the deck towards this kind of scenario where legit S2S forcing in favor of warmer temps doesn’t appear until the latter half of March or so