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Pattern February 2024

The pacific looking mediocre isn't a killer for the 2/18ish system as long as the davis strait to 50/50 area plays along. It'll trend this to either a miller B or sheared wave scenario but if we have a 1032-1040 high moving from the lakes into the NE that plays for areas east of the apps.

I'm really interested to see where the follow up system around 2/24 goes as well. Have some potential with that one but have to worry it gets biased too far north or the remnant cold is too marginal
 
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SD said:
The pacific looking mediocre isn't a killer for the 2/18ish system as long as the davis strait to 50/50 area plays along. It'll trend this to either a miller B or sheared wave scenario but if we have a 1032-1040 high moving from the lakes into the NE that plays for areas east of the apps.

I'm really interested to see where the follow up system around 2/24 goes as well. Have some potential with that one but have to worry it gets biased too far north or the remnant cold is too marginal
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Looks like storm out the gulf heading into cad .just unknown how deep the cold will be
 
I like the start of the 12Z OP suite. A new look on the ICON. It's poised to bring an artic airmass down the front range with our Baja vorticity looming.
icon_z500_vort_us_61.png

icon_mslp_wind_us_61.png
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
I like the start of the 12Z OP suite. A new look on the ICON. It's poised to bring an artic airmass down the front range with our Baja vorticity looming.
icon_z500_vort_us_61.png

icon_mslp_wind_us_61.png
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Yep. It would probably get very warm ahead of that clipper but that's the look you want ahead of the SS wave
 
KyloG said:
Folding to who? Didn't it have back to back op runs with big SE snows yesterday? If anything its leading....or all alone actually.
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Since 12z yesterday, the trend has been to weaken the 50/50 low and strengthen the Pacific low further east. The 06z GEFS doesn't even get the 850 line south of I-40, while the EPS and CMC are much colder. The 12z GFS folded to the 00z EPS and CMC. However, the question remains: will the GEFS align with the OP, and will the EPS and CMC continue?
 
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