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Pattern February 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
We say it so many times but this just shows how everything has to be perfect to snow in the south.
Back to Winter weather in Savannah. Only up from here. Lol
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
The trailing energy continues to show up on the GFS, could be a game changer if it continues to appear.
Jan88
Member
If this model run is correct there seems to be an artic high an good track for the low so there is a chance for someone in the southeast to get winter wx.
We’re gonna need that high to keep sliding east. Wonky
Interestingly, it seems like the CMC has been the most consistent. No one is more surprised by this than me, but I checked the h5 skill scores recently and the CMC was actually second behind the Euro with the GFS and UKMET having some terrible verification scores at times.
IMO the CMC H5 solution that the 12z GFS is close to has great potential and this is what I personally am rooting for. We need to get a strong cold push and hope that we can have a little bit of the tail end of the northern stream inject into the southern wave and it will pull the system north into the cold ala yesterday's 12z GFS (or even colder depending on the timing).
IMO the CMC H5 solution that the 12z GFS is close to has great potential and this is what I personally am rooting for. We need to get a strong cold push and hope that we can have a little bit of the tail end of the northern stream inject into the southern wave and it will pull the system north into the cold ala yesterday's 12z GFS (or even colder depending on the timing).
Yeh let's not drop the Arctic circle in Dallas again.
Flotown
Member
boy that was close for a LOT of us
You ain’t kidding. I’d about take my chances with that look at 84hrs and hope the precip to the north is underdone.
Pacific looking better on the GEFS. 
I still stand by this. The probability of at least phasing 2/3 seems elevated if we can pull this setup forward.
In what alternate reality would this not produce a east coast winter storm 
GEFS coming in much colder at 180hrs. Still ways to go but that is a great look. If we can get that western ridge to keep looking stronger, we are cooking with diesel.
Wouldn't a triple pull it too far north or with blocking we just get a pasting monster off the se coast?
wow
Member
The trend has been for that low in the pacific to consolidate well off the coast, I would think that would be a common tendency for big bank to take little bank. With that being said you’d think the Atlantic side would also do the same and consolidate off the coast a little faster allowing that northern piece “fly in the ointment” to trend easterly into the main lobe allowing more high pressure to funnel in and create a more textbook overrunning type look. Just my two pennies.
You get the wave spacing and timing perfectly wrong and everything just ends up flat
griteater
Member
It's like synchronized swimming getting all these pieces to line up. We've got no business trying to follow these things from 10 days out, but we're just deranged snow hounds afflicted with a disease and can't help it. I will say this...because we have to look ahead so far into the future to see opportunities, many of the posters on here develop a feel over time with respect to which setups at range have real potential and are worth spending time investigating and which ones aren't.
Stormlover
Member
What a difference in 1 run
