Pattern February 2024

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

They just don’t wanna kiss this year

 

[packfan98]

This run shut us down:

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

This run shut us down:

That trailing cutoff wave was ?. And don’t get me started about that Canadian press

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

That GFS run was well....a barn burner for NC

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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Canadian was set up for some mega overrunning

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

For those that missed it

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[wow]

Finally a decent fantasy run

 

[1300m]

I really couldn't give a monkeys behind what the GFS is showing beyond D7. It does show what can happen with a little luck, but beyond that it has no value nor does any other deterministic output at this range.

The overall H5 look has unsurprisingly come into better agreement with the ensembles and again shows the potential in the pattern. That's all that can be taken away at this point in the game.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That’s just pretty

 

[NCSNOW]

You look at last 3 frames 0z euro surface and gfs glory run just now and they are perfectly matched fyi.
Suppresion is least of my fears as its a Little diff setup this go around. Its the opposite ill be worried about.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GEFS with a classic cold air damming look

 

[1300m]

That’s just pretty View attachment 145715

? at that western ridge. Now that's a beaut!

 

[$alt]

GEFS with a classic cold air damming look View attachment 145717

Good lord; Look at that my CAE friends. I think we need more than CAD alone, but c'mon.

 

[SD]

Looks like most of the gefs were suppressed/weak. Good

 

[ILMRoss]

look that was a really adorable run but i can't take anything seriously knowing it will just trend flatter and more positively tilted

 

[LukeBarrette]

The GEFS is mixed precip hell. Lots of snow, sleet, ice, rain. All up to the timing of waves.

 

[Arcc]

That’s just pretty View attachment 145715

Much colder that run for our period as well. Give me that cold and I’ll take my chance with any other variable.

 

[CaryWx]

look that was a really adorable run but i can't take anything seriously knowing it will just trend flatter and more positively tilted

Are you seeing something that lends to it moving flatter?

 

[Mitch West]

One of the better looking GEFS runs panel wise for the timeframe of interest we've seen. Loving the suppressed look on a lot of them.

 

[Arcc]

One of the better looking GEFS runs panel wise for the timeframe of interest we've seen. Loving the suppressed look on a lot of them.

Back to showing some snowfall over the deeper portions of the south.