D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Not sure how good this model is but it looks like it gets Columbia in the game
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Wintry February 19-21, 2020 Winter Storm
- Thread starter Six Mile Wx
- Start date
GarnerNC
Member
Started sleeting in Garner, no rain as far as I can tell.
NCSNOW
Member
So a couple of things #1 his totals are we within reason even with rain to start #2 a few hours after the flip should have some moderate to heavy snow. #3 any early change overs are going to be rate driven, its not going to be impossible for someone to our south/east/west to flip while we rain a little longer. #4 we may be looking at snow until 6z and some areas could see 6 plus hours of snow
Rosie
Member
Sleet here.
NCSNOW
Member
Gonna be a few more hours before we get heavy enough echoes to do anything with
FamouslyHot
Member
It's a very cold biased model. It would be a massive over-performance if we were to see that much snow here. Right now my upper limit for expectations is if we get something similar to March 2017.
Quoting didn't work so just know this is in reference to the HRF-ARW model run posted above.
Quoting didn't work so just know this is in reference to the HRF-ARW model run posted above.
No more maps .. NOWCASTING BABYNot as rosy a picture on the Pivotal map.
Rain/Sleet/snow grains (graupel) here
Oh my gosh flurries are flying here in King North Carolina!
GarnerNC
Member
A few flakes starting to mix in with the sleet now.
Still dry in Burlington.
Zebulon nc has some sleet
Don’t think they will bust on the low side! just look at radar moisture sliding due east not gonna be much around here unfortunately?
NCSNOW
Member
Crow
Member
42 3 miles N of Franklinton.
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Deleted member 1449
Guest
This will not help our cause in the NW Piedmont:
Good luck down there buddy! I’m gonna have to wait till first of March to get any measurable snow?
Tiny Snowflakes mixing in, mostly sleet/rain
BlueRidgeFolklore
Member
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
We can't even get a rain drop here. 40.8/26.8
Just like that it’s back to sleet and rain, needa wait for the heavier stuff
Nerman
Member
Sleet at the house in SE Wake. Winter moves up from an F to a D-.
All dry in downtown Raleigh.
All dry in downtown Raleigh.
NCSNOW
Member
I hope me an packfan arent saying the same thing come coffee time tommorow morning lol. Gonna be razor thin close here. Radar will be telling as sun goes down tonight
WxBlue
Meteorologist
Final call map for our snowstorm.
8miles
Member
starting to see some sleet mix in with light rain in Statesville
Fountainguy97
Member
Well I’ll kick this off. It’s been dumping nickels and quarters here for the last 20minutes!
Should keep this up for a few hrs.
Should keep this up for a few hrs.
BackThePack
Member
This system has never really excited me for the triad area... even Durham who expected QPF was modeled between .4-.5 The triad can maybe squeeze .2-.3 of moisture out, but this is a coastal low, precip will be I95 E and tanking as you head N and W until you get to the SC midlands.This will not help our cause in the NW Piedmont:
CLT-east/northeast is starting to look better based off the hrrr, thats one heavy band of snow, soundings in that burst show -1 to -2 omega in the DGZ, which Is big thump in birdman language 
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Just a reminder, this is the obs thread. Post all of them here!
Mainly sleet again
I guess I’m Chasin I’m headed to Lexington and Salisbury maybe I’ll at least get to see some snow falling!
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Yep, I'm liking where I am in Union county right now (assuming this is correct).
Shaggy
Member
I mean I have all sleet and its 45 degrees. Craziness.
We need the precip to start soon:
through 7 AM Friday...
Changes: Very few if any changes this morning. Looks like a later
start to the snow across the north as the precipitation has not
quite filled in across the north this morning. The longer these
areas remain precipitation free, the more temperatures will be
allowed to rise and the lower chances for significant snowfall
amounts. Generally, expect snow accumulation to largely hold off
until after 4 PM this afternoon, with increasing chances for snow
through the evening and early overnight. However, there is still a
good bit of uncertainty with respect to amounts.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1140 AM Thursday...
...Winter Storm
As of 1140 AM Thursday...
...Winter Storm
Warning
in effect for the Northern Coastal Plain and
Winter Weather Advisory
in effect for the remainder of central
NC
through 7 AM Friday...
Changes: Very few if any changes this morning. Looks like a later
start to the snow across the north as the precipitation has not
quite filled in across the north this morning. The longer these
areas remain precipitation free, the more temperatures will be
allowed to rise and the lower chances for significant snowfall
amounts. Generally, expect snow accumulation to largely hold off
until after 4 PM this afternoon, with increasing chances for snow
through the evening and early overnight. However, there is still a
good bit of uncertainty with respect to amounts.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Maybe the precip will last longer once it actually starts. That could even out things if it starts later than anticipated.
Showmeyourtds
Member
Down to 38.5 here. Wind still howling. Heavy rain.