• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry February 19-21, 2020 Winter Storm

Fisherman said:
So would it be wrong to call for a dusting of snow for North Georgiatrying time jinx us like last storm and got 3 inches instead
Click to expand...

I feel like depending where you are in north Georgia at this point you may end up with a bit more than a dusting


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
WxBlue said:
3km NAM and 12km, along with globals, should be main tools for tomorrow. Ensembles should be near unanimous by then... just have to break it to finer details after that point. Wednesday, it'll be good time to start using RGEM... that's a solid short-range model. By Thursday, we should start ditching globals and shift nearly fully to short-range like RAP and HRRR... as well as mesoscale models like NAM and RGEM.
Click to expand...
don't forget the SREF to add to the mix
 
Brick Tamland said:
Death and taxes. Why I was confident on this. We have seen this song and dance plenty of times with the models, going back and forth, showing hits, then going away, coming back again, moving NW with the precip.
Click to expand...
I know this isn’t prbly what some would consider “scientific” Brick, but there’s a lot of value in “recognizing what typically occurs”. Congrats to y’all in NC. Hope everything holds together for y’all
 
Fountainguy97 said:
How do NC Mets never learn? LOL seems like every single storm there is a met making crazy assumptions way too early.
Click to expand...
As long as they don't pull a Snowmageddon like in 2014, people are not going to be mad even if they wait until 12 hours before the event starts to cancel. But if he goes and says the opposite right now that everything will be shut down and for whatever reason the storm is a bust, there goes ANY credibility that he may have had.
 
WxBlue said:
This is personal preference, but SREF wasn't that great when I used them for many northern snowstorms. Northeast forum on AmWx hardly mention it. I just think SREF is outdated at this point.
Click to expand...
The SREF is wrong most of the time.
 
Dawgdaze22 said:
I feel like depending where you are in north Georgia at this point you may end up with a bit more than a dusting


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
I’m about 40 miles north of Atlanta in Cherokee county. My in laws live in Cobb county in Marietta and only got a dusting and I had 3 inches and one county above in Pickens county got 4 1/2 so it’s gonna be close or maybe even better the way the models have been trending even from this morning.
 
3192572173d867e781d4f7e91d0eb11e.jpg


AKQ with low confidence as of this evening.
 
Fisherman said:
I’m about 40 miles north of Atlanta in Cherokee county. My in laws live in Cobb county in Marietta and only got a dusting and I had 3 inches and one county above in Pickens county got 4 1/2 so it’s gonna be close or maybe even better the way the models have been trending even from this morning.
Click to expand...

I’m in north Lumpkin county and if we get more than we did 2 weeks ago I’ll cry.. i don’t know if anyone can tell me what the odds of that happening are LOL


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Storm5 said:
Huntsville is sitting pretty . Will be interesting to see the trends over the coming two days


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Yes! We in the I-20 corridor are still hoping there’s a rabbit somewhere in this hat....I was checking out the ensembles earlier and I’m prty sure 4 of 12 showed solid hit dwn to I 20 if I understood correctly. Lake Lanier and points north were def golden.
 
bnathanb1982 said:
As long as they don't pull a Snowmageddon like in 2014, people are not going to be mad even if they wait until 12 hours before the event starts to cancel. But if he goes and says the opposite right now that everything will be shut down and for whatever reason the storm is a bust, there goes ANY credibility that he may have had.
Click to expand...
Exactly. The good thing is we are going to be warm until later Wednesday and not in the freezer before the event. If we see snow starting mid afternoon Thursday unless we go right into intense rates roads will be wet/mush until the sun goes down. The bigger issue will be every business in central nc releasing as soon as the first flake is seen and every main road being jammed
 
FWIW, Atlanta friends, at this range with the last system, all models had snow/wintry precip confined to the higher elevations of the NGA mountains. It wasn't until the nam3 came into range that the temps started rapidly dropping south. Plenty of time for temperatures to change the needed 2-4 degrees.
 
bouncycorn said:
FWIW, Atlanta friends, at this range with the last system, all models had snow/wintry precip confined to the higher elevations of the NGA mountains. It wasn't until the nam3 came into range that the temps started rapidly dropping south. Plenty of time for temperatures to change the needed 2-4 degrees.
Click to expand...
Looking back, yeah this was definitely true. Have to watch the warm nose and what it does on future runs on the 3KM. As I mentioned earlier, the 3KM has a cooler 850 in CAD regions in N GA. However the nose is above that too.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top