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Wintry February 19-21, 2020 Winter Storm

NAM for me shows 34 during most of the precip with a .9 850 temp. So close. It does spit out .4" of snow so maybe it has it waffling back and forth.
 
Webberweather53 said:
I'm honestly debating whether to stay back in Charlotte and hope for some snow while areas to my east and northeast probably take a big hit or call out of work for a couple days and head back home to Fayetteville and risk "smelling the rain" but have the potential to jackpot underneath a backside deformation band w/ this coastal low.
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No brainer...…..Fayetteville...
 
Gfs totally caving like others have said. Looks like I’ll be traveling north Wednesday afternoon
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Bsud said:
The GFS is just not picking up on the cold across the upstate. If it was it would be showing accumulating snow across there.
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You thinking the GFS is to warm in upstate? I’ll say this the NAM is 2/2 this year so I’m hugging the NAM for now


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Webberweather53 said:
Yes, that's easy to overcome with heavier rates given that the freezing level is below 950mb.
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It’s pretty clear we’re starting down the barrel of a possible moderate to significant winter storm for some ... clear model biases like the global not handling the lifting mechanisms at work are clear .. easily the Gfs will full in as time gets closer as it has done all year right now we need to be looking at ensembles/ SREF/ and short range guidance for real trends in this storm ...


can’t believe we’re actually doing well at reeling this one in
 
Webberweather53 said:
I'm honestly debating whether to stay back in Charlotte and hope for some snow while areas to my east and northeast probably take a big hit or call out of work for a couple days and head back home to Fayetteville and risk "smelling the rain" but have the potential to jackpot underneath a backside deformation band w/ this coastal low.
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I'll be in the Wilson area, best shot at snow this side of NC has had all winter.

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Webberweather53 said:
I'm honestly debating whether to stay back in Charlotte and hope for some snow while areas to my east and northeast probably take a big hit or call out of work for a couple days and head back home to Fayetteville and risk "smelling the rain" but have the potential to jackpot underneath a backside deformation band w/ this coastal low.
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I think Charlotte has potential to see some crazy rates as well with the initial band and maybe some deformation/ mesoscale stuff as the storm departs ... could be positives of both ur options
 
Webberweather53 said:
I'm honestly debating whether to stay back in Charlotte and hope for some snow while areas to my east and northeast probably take a big hit or call out of work for a couple days and head back home to Fayetteville and risk "smelling the rain" but have the potential to jackpot underneath a backside deformation band w/ this coastal low.
Click to expand...
Web you and I both know how this is going to go, any time our area jackpots at day 3 greensboro gets 8 inches of paste. And we listen to the cold rain. If I could, that's where I'd go.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
I honestly think CLT stands at a solid spot especially if the coastal makes ticks back to the west, Fay is a bit risky but has better potential, hard decision lol but I’d say fay
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This is coming from a Charlotte resident and avid snow lover, But I just can’t see Charlotte getting what eastern NC is forecasted for unless there’s some major shifts, maybe Webber cares to chime in?
 
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