packfan98
Moderator
Yeah, a much better trough orientation. Good chance for the system to get juiced up and make the turn.FWIW the Nam looks even better
12z
06z
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Wintry February 19-21, 2020 Winter Storm
- Thread starter Six Mile Wx
- Start date
FWIW the Nam looks even better
12z
06z
That flow looks so flat to me.
Womp
Jessy89
Member
NE Ga gets a good snow again. Upstate sc gets blanked as it’s not cold enough. Then major winter storm for eastern Carolinas
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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
PSA: Look at the rain event for this Tuesday/Wednesday and how it’s shifted north and west in the last 24 hours. You want this thing south of your locale right now. We’ve seen this movie before, just get the popcorn ready. ?
Brutal run for the upstate. lol
If this wave is going to end up like the CMC and make things snowier, the PV vortex over SE Canada needs to dig more. If it does, this would be a major system. Although this run of the Nam was a step towards it.
Broken024
Member
Right where you want it?
No precip in the upstate. Coastal transfer kills it I think
just look at the snow on the far north extent of the precip. if that precip is 100 mils or so north nc will be in business. love this look at 4 days out.
Avalanche
Member
Atlantic ridge, or lack thereof, allowing this to scoot out as opposed to turning the corner?
iGRXY
Member
This is actually a good run for the upstate because we not there will likely be more moisture. The NW trend is likely to happen and Fgen is absolutely on our side in this as well.
SREF
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Right on the line. I do like the trends though. This could mean better down the road if trends continue.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Agreed. Overrunning events are historically very kind to folks south of RDU & GSO, most of the real big dogs in Charlotte were overrunning events or cut off upper lows. We have this storm right where we want itjust look at the snow on the far north extent of the precip. if that precip is 100 mils or so north nc will be in business. love this look at 4 days out.
Jessy89
Member
The mountains are also delaying the cold air to dip into upstate. That’s hurting us to. I understand with heavy enough rates that could bring cold air down. I like your optimism
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iGRXY
Member
The cold air is there, it's cold enough for us at 850 and 925. the temperatures are likely going to be around 37-40 with DP in the mid 20's. That is plenty to get snow especially with more moisture.