Wintry February 19-21, 2020 Winter Storm

[deltadog03]

But again, the trade off is not as strong (or delayed) cold push

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I-40 was looking like there were gonna look from the outside, not so sure about that anymore, lol

 

[Jessy89]

Doesn’t the gfs have a warm bias. I’m guessing there be some more members showing snow then last run


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[GaWx]

I-40 was looking like there were gonna look from the outside, not so sure about that anymore, lol

If I were in NC, I'd be happy right now based on the 0Z GFS regardless of exact solution.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Doesn’t the gfs have a warm bias. I’m guessing there be some more members showing snow then last run


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It’s actually cold biased, lol

 

[GaWx]

Doesn’t the gfs have a warm bias. I’m guessing there be some more members showing snow then last run


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No

 

[Dawgdaze22]

I-40 was looking like there were gonna look from the outside, not so sure about that anymore, lol

Does the mean NGa is still in play?


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[JLL1973]

If it tends like the last system. I see the northern 3rd of Miss, Alabama, And Georgia getting in on the action..

I hope your right but it seems to be trending warmer and warmer

 

[Myfrotho704_]

If I were in NC, I'd be happy right now based on the 0Z GFS regardless of exact solution.

Yeah atm I’m not worried about Ptypes, I like that look, pretty sure others around here would agree

 

[Snownut]

Am I wrong or does it look like the same areas as last storm getting the action

 

[Ollie Williams]

You can tell why the the GFS warm by looking at the energy over the Great Lakes. The more it digs, the colder the system gets. I think we have solved our moisture issue. The Euro is different and has this energy digging. Though this run was a step in the right direction for more cold air.

 

[iGrey_X]

A 1042 high over eastern Iowa? I’m not believing those temperature profiles. I’m thinking mid 30’s at best across northern Alabama, Georgia, upstate SC, through Charlotte. Those are the areas I’d say look good for a winter storm right now.

 

[Jessy89]

Am I wrong or does it look like the same areas as last storm getting the action

Your not wrong assuming it trends colder I could see upstate sc. north of 85 and NE ga. And the southern mountains of NC getting some snow


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[Ollie Williams]

One thing that needs to be monitored is the HP that the EPS has that the GFS doesn’t have that would me a big difference
View attachment 34583
View attachment 34584

That doesn’t mean anything. There’s still lots of high pressure there. There just isn’t an H.

And besides, off of the GFS map on Wxbell, there is an H.

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[Snowflowxxl]

Moisture has never been a problem this winter. Never understood why some are so hung up on that. Worry about the temps! Most of us are looking at chilly rain. I could see NC and GA mtns cashing in by verification though.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

That doesn’t mean anything. There’s still lots of high pressure there. There just isn’t an H.

And besides, off of the GFS map on Wxbell, there is an H.

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maybe it’s a meso high tho? either way, too early to focus on something like that

 

[Jessy89]

The nam will do a good job with this system like it did the last two.


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[deltadog03]

Thermal profiles are not that far off in GA. Still going to need help.

 

[ATLwxfan]

Canadian is flirting. Let’s watch this.


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[iGrey_X]

That doesn’t mean anything. There’s still lots of high pressure there. There just isn’t an H.

And besides, off of the GFS map on Wxbell, there is an H.

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That’s almost a banana high. I just don’t see how you have a 1035 HP in prime CAD position and a 1041 HP moving SE through Missouri and not see a winter storm in this blue zone.