I accumulated in the upper 30’s back then so I know it can happen ?
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Feb 26-29 snow showers/clippers
- Thread starter accu35
- Start date
Dawgdaze22
Member
Anyone have the recent NAM?
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah looks like we'll be in the mid-upper 40s (ish) when the convective showers move in, I'd presume temps will probably drop back into the upper 30s if you get under heavy rates long enough.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
As promised, here's a pair of radar loops from KGSP & KCAE for the Feb 16-17 2013 event for your viewing pleasure. Watch how the upscale growth of the convective showers near Greenville-Spartanburg leads to a mini-MCS and eventually creates a mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) in Kershaw County that's also producing heavy-very heavy thundersnow. I
It's honestly a snow weenie's wet dream to see an MCV like this loaded w/ snow (instead of rain) hurdling towards you, I seriously hope to have the opportunity to experience at least one of these in my life. modernweeniemodernweeniemodernweenie
KGSP & KCAE radar loops
It's honestly a snow weenie's wet dream to see an MCV like this loaded w/ snow (instead of rain) hurdling towards you, I seriously hope to have the opportunity to experience at least one of these in my life. modernweeniemodernweeniemodernweenie
KGSP & KCAE radar loops
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Looks like a snowcane.
It was epic. Seemingly out of nowhere. It was raining snow. That’s the best way to describe it
I’m curious to know what meso models were showing a day before..who can dig that info right fast?
I so wish I had realized what I was seeing that afternoon as it approached my house. I can remember vividly seeing what looked like a white fog moving towards us. Then as it got to us there was a minute or two of a bit of drizzle then the bottom just fell out and it was snowing probably the hardest I had ever seen... huge flakes that covered the ground almost instantly.
From what I remember they were picking up on it very good the night before. In fact I remember Frank Strait at Accuweather saying that the Charlotte area didn’t need to worry about the snow that we would see in the morning, but the big focus would be what came through late in the afternoon
accu35
Member
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I'm in Murphy NC until Saturday. You think I'll do good and maybe be under a convective snow shower?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Where do you think the best chance for seeing convective snow showers are tomorrow? I'm looking at the short range models and I think there could be a chance around here. Am I missing anything in this sounding?
I like what the RAP shows, impressive 700mb VV is a peice of the puzzle to our Convection tommorow afternoon
models develop convection on the lee side of the NC mountains, but watch for anything to form in SC and move more eastward from its own outflow, that introduces the chance of any sort MCS to develop (very unlikely but not 0), kinda like summertime multicellular convection
models develop convection on the lee side of the NC mountains, but watch for anything to form in SC and move more eastward from its own outflow, that introduces the chance of any sort MCS to develop (very unlikely but not 0), kinda like summertime multicellular convection
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
You might see a few isolated ones there, best chance imo is if you go towards Madison or northern Haywood counties (west of Asheville).
Lol RAP
Shows what looks like a December 12 2017 repeat
Shows what looks like a December 12 2017 repeat
Rap nailed the January 31 event for mby..nailed
John1122
Member
I picked up about 3/4ths inch this morning. Looks like most models have me around that to nearly 2 inches on the GFS for the early tomorrow into Saturday systems. Just can't trust it though.
This is sunrise this morning.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
There's some local sinking in that profile (I presume that's a local anomaly) but the low-mid levels are certainly unstable/moist enough and the melting layer is pretty shallow, or at least just shallow enough that if you had a heavy burst of precip, you could see some graupel &/or snow. I certainly tend to think the best chance for snow/graupel outside the mountains is going to be north of Atlanta in GA thru upstate SC into NC.
DCVA, CAPE, & CIN look more favorable in GA & SC but I think steeper mid-level lapse rates, particularly near the DGZ, might be even more key to generating convective snow showers in NC & upstate SC. Seeing mid-level lapse rates of 7.5-8C/km in concert w/ other large-scale forcing(s) for ascent is definitely very conducive to producing convection
Same plume of Steep mid level lapse rates that produced Convective snow across isolated portions of the country right (KS for example) ?