the RAP is definitely all in on this convective stuff
Looks just a little warm to me, but rates might make it work at the peak.
Looks just a little warm to me, but rates might make it work at the peak.
You should look at what the HRRR has diving into GA... Can't wait for the soundings and maps there. Seems like a massive Convective Snow Shower.Yeh hrrr BL mixing/warm bias is probably affecting SFC temps to, probably a bit to high, wetbulb during those Convective showers will probably more so be around 38-42 so it will certainly be close
Help me understand the DGZ values cause they look off the charts here what does that mean when it shows up like thatSo close here View attachment 36461
Help me understand the DGZ values cause they look off the charts here what does that mean when it shows up like that
Graupel snow mix? Crashing Column? Temps cooler than predicted on models possibly? Surprise 3 inches of snow? ... okay that last one was a wennie oneThat’s over -1 to -2 omega, likely signaling the development of graupel/snow with pretty good lift, and a solid updraft, sfc is barely supportive of snow tho, but graupel would easily make it
Hmmm like clock work.Slowly but surely the NAM and other CAMs have been ramping up the threat for isolated rain/snow &/or graupel showers east of the mountains
Graupel snow mix? Crashing Column? Temps cooler than predicted on models possibly? Surprise 3 inches of snow? ... okay that last one was a wennie one
Agreed. Maybe when I get a chance I’ll pull up a radar loop from Feb 2013, surface temps are several degrees warmer so that will put a damper on snow chances relative to that case but certainly could see some wet flakes here and thereLikely rain/graupel with a few showers with the deepest cores mixing with wet flakes