100% sure the hrrr isn’t done filling in either. Just a awful short range model
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Mahomeless
Member
This is why you never want big cold pushes….you will almost never get snow with a big upper level push. Give me slightly below anomalies….eventually a good SLP will pop, and then the warm nose can battle it out with who gets what. This system was never impressive synoptically, and it’s about to show.
WxBlue
Meteorologist
This storm officially stinks to forecast.
Wonder how different this looks in 6 hours 
Yeah it's finally getting a clue but it's so bad beyond 8 hours or so it's hard to trust it, even when it starts improving. Although this is getting closer to most modeling
Chattownsnow
Member
Maybe I’m wrong but it seems like no matter what. You get screwed lol
That’s a sick looking band. Snow squall embedded in that to 
Mpirone12
Member
To my knowledge, mets please correct me if I’m off, but the reason that no one and no model can nail this down yet has to do with no one seems to be able to pin point what 1) the low coming out of the Rockies and 2) the low along the gulf are going to do and models and therefore everyone else can’t seem to nail down the end result.
Brent
Member
Well there was the storm in January supposed to be an inch and had 6
I guess that was our quota on that
Tbh even the dusting on January 20th and Saturday night were pretty much better than anyone expected
It's still been a way better winter here than the last couple for sure
We love this model. We don’t hate Jay. We love.
weather bubba
Member
On the other end of the spectrum from the HRRR this is the GFS snowfall map. I'm riding the GFS untill the wheels fall off!
ChattaVOL
Member
When will the data for the hurricane hunters be ingested?
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Pops
Member
Not sure but I would think ooz??
BackThePack
Member
If this verifies (or even comes remotely close to literally any extent), Ill crown you and delete my account
Pops
Member
Radar lighting up some more out where we need it
NAM starting to run lets see if the hurricane hunter data makes some changes
You got a map somewhere? Seem to have a lot of opinions on what is not going to happen, I just want you to put yourself out their like the rest of us have so we can hold you to it.
lcpdk
Member
Obs on the west side of Kernersville NC (Eastern Forsyth County, appx 10 mi SE of INT)
39 degrees (dropping well), Humidity 51% (rising), DP 22 (stable).
39 degrees (dropping well), Humidity 51% (rising), DP 22 (stable).
Most if not all of that stuff around CLT is from the UL driven snow…. Impressive. Makes sense though, temps in the 20s with a burst of heavy wind driven snow 
Avalanche
Member
I’d do like NOAA did and put less than 12 and call it a day
I hate that I actually gave the SREF any credence. Curious if the projected snowfall actually fell any or if it was just super juiced members that were raining on us that pushed the QPF way up before, though. Never looked at the individual members.
I still trust in King GFS, until 00z.
I still trust in King GFS, until 00z.
Environment near that snow squall. Little bit of convective atributes with decent low level lapse rates, small amount of surface based cape. Nice low DGZs as well 
Cary_Snow95
Member
00z NAM
weather bubba
Member
There is a lot of ice in this frame from the NAM.
Clarksville TN north of Nashville. Roads getting covered
You think maybe we can get some thunder with that?
Bad run further west but still good QPF into the Triangle. Probably mixing issues…Kuchera snow actually went up for RDU.
howboutthemdawgs
Member
Bone dry a little further south in Franklin
Mpirone12
Member
It really takes only 20-40 miles of these models being off to turn this into something
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Pretty much does it for our area .... first model run that shows 0.00 through the western piedmont and upstate. No even a flurry.... that foothill "snow shadow" is in full force.
Brandon10
Member
18z Nam was best run yet ENC.....0z drastically worse. Hello Ice for everyone. NE NC not even safe...
Cary_Snow95
Member
3km is really dry……
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Thursday morning is going to be the main attraction I think
Ward Cleaver
Member
The latest NAM run pretty much stuck a fork in this for me. That’s not a dry slot. That’s a dry hemisphere. Gee whiz.
Mpirone12
Member
The fact that the two NAMS have .75inch QPF difference in spots is laughable at this point.
WEATHERBOYROY
Member
Is it just me or does the satellite imagery look odd down in the GOM?
NCSNOW
Member
Yep. Sitting here, its eitheir 3-4 or nada. 20 mile swing will determine.
Watching that nam loop, old scholl carolina split look is a groin kick. All TN is blue and its hits a brickwall at the ridge line.