astroworld123
Member
Agreed. Gonna try to at least get to wake forest.
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Agreed. Gonna try to at least get to wake forest.
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Glad to hear I’m not the only one having a hard time with this storm.
Oh god…
Yeah if’s hard for me to break habit and not say Gulf of Mexico. At this point I’ve just reserved myself to say “Gulf” so I don’t piss anyone off lol
It's in google maps now. So if you go by the online maps to forecast it is what it is. Now if you are forecasting from outside the US it is still the GoM in Google maps. We're in the US though
SimeonNC
Member
I'm gonna pull my faith in the precip being underdone and still say that 1-3" is still quite possible throughout the CLT area even without the Thursday morning stuff.
SnowNiner
Member
Surface temps are actually pretty marginal imo. All the cold is still out west (really cold), and we never get any good CAD although I think it was decently modeled early on.
I'm still waiting on good CAD this winter. All the threats really haven't had much. Man, this one just really fell apart completely on Sunday, in like every single way for WNC.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
46.6/22.8 temps falling, DP stable
Last call for Snowfall Forecast Contest 3.0. Forecasts due by 11PM tonight. $50 to the winner
Link to the thread: https://southernwx.com/community/threads/griteater-contest-3-0.1380/
Link to the thread: https://southernwx.com/community/threads/griteater-contest-3-0.1380/
Het, just an idea, just Mention GOA or.. GOM for their preference.. Or just,, cuck'em.. (sry off topic)
Current obs.. 41F
DEW POINT is at 33F
humidity 63% overcast..
NE winds at 4mph
You can close it iv already won.
18z Euro still looks good for the clt crew. If anything better. Still not much as far as the clipper goes. Looks like temps were a tad colder
Applies not really for this storm but the future!
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Hurricane hunters doing a mission in the Gulf to help with model data for the winter storm
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Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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X
Same for N GA
Upstate- dusting. The angle of precip is not right, borderline 2m temps
Same for N GA
It’s going to be really frustrating when people say GOA and we don’t know if they’re talking about the Gulf of Alaska or Gulf of America
Just landed, I (assume) the related information will be ingested/Injected into the overnight Models Runs?
I think temperatures are going to be barely cold enough for wet snow in Charlotte, but with precipitation lacking with this weakish system. Daytime snow not helping either. I’d go Dusting to 1 inch for the Queen City
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
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SREF pulled back a wee bit on QPF but now matches its sibling, the NAM
Y'all, here's a Rain Cold rule that will serve you well and drastically cut down on your map-makibg time:
If there are no question marks, go with 125% of the 24 hr 3K NAM snowfall map.
If 1 ? exists, use 80% of the 24 hr 3K NAM totals.
If 2-4 ? exist, slash totals by 50%.
If more than 4 ? exist, less than 25% is recommended. Northern and western sections usually get the full 25%.
We have questions about track/reformation location, temps, mid-level temps, and Gulf Convection.
Yikes.
If there are no question marks, go with 125% of the 24 hr 3K NAM snowfall map.
If 1 ? exists, use 80% of the 24 hr 3K NAM totals.
If 2-4 ? exist, slash totals by 50%.
If more than 4 ? exist, less than 25% is recommended. Northern and western sections usually get the full 25%.
We have questions about track/reformation location, temps, mid-level temps, and Gulf Convection.
Yikes.
Brent
Member
Yeah we struggled to get a couple inches maybe. I did see one drift against the fence around 7 inches but otherwise very mid here
Charlotte has literally had the worst luck when it comes to snow. It’s been such a constant smack in the face, over and over again. I really thought we had a chance, especially a few days ago. But once again, we are continuing to get robbed. I’m cheering for everyone else, but man, at least Raleigh got 2-3 inches of snow last go-around. Heck, we’ve barely seen a dusting here. We’re definitely not alone; I know a lot of us are in the same boat. But this is just rough. I really hope things turn around, but I’m not taking it to the bank.
Thanks! DIdn't even realize...18z AI. Roughly the same. All models have been mostly the same...and expec that to continue.
Mpirone12
Member
I know balloons, etc are commonly used but just saw hurricane hunters are collecting data off the gulf to help with a clear picture. Is this storm so up in the air that it’s stumping a lot of people?
Dry snow sucks. Takes a decade to add up
WolfpackHomer91
Member
It’s so far off that even Ol Birdman can’t nail it down
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Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Cold air can be a curse! Too strong of a push! I was worried at how strong it appeared last night as it crashed through your state, blue norther style! Enjoy the snow you have before the melt next week!
️lcpdk
Member
Obs on the west side of Kernersville NC (Eastern Forsyth County, appx 10 mi SE of INT)
42 degrees, Humidity 46%, DP 22 (rising).
42 degrees, Humidity 46%, DP 22 (rising).
Pops
Member
Need radar to fire up in north Louisiana and southern Arkansas
BackThePack
Member
This is setting up to be sleet city.
Though, I tend to disagree with the ice accumulation forecast (not pictured). I think the surface temps down that way will prevent anything damaging from occurring.
Though, I tend to disagree with the ice accumulation forecast (not pictured). I think the surface temps down that way will prevent anything damaging from occurring.
iGRXY
Member
I’ll be honest, I’m done with winter this year. This was the final nail in the coffin for me. 3 systems completely whiff the Western Carolinas even with well below avg temps for the majority of winter.
Basically same thing the euro did, just two days later.
mx3gsr92
Member
Anyone thinking the SREF was going to save them, was digging their own grave.
It's the end of the HRRR run which isn't great, plus it's the last frame of that run and precip is actually blossoming from coastal. Not sure how far it would have expanded on the next frame but I go back to my first words, it's the end of the HRRR which isn't great
Trash 
broken025
Member
I’ve accepted this will be a slush mix that may result in a dusting here. I am mildly intrigued by Thursday morning though.