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Wintry Feb. 19-20

If you go back to January 2000, then yes. Raleigh gets some benefit of the Atlantic moisture that Charlotte does not, therefore the 2 inch higher average. The past 10 years, just north of Raleigh has scored, like in 2018, but otherwise snow drought here as well.
At least Charlotte got its own January 2000 since then, February 2004. Raleigh did not get that much from that one comparatively.
 
The whinging from the mountain folks is funny considering those dudes legit get a snow event whenever the wind blows a certain direction. and they tend to cash out in storm set ups that would never work for us lower elevation people in a million years. They'll be fine

I'm smoking on the Mid Atlantic's pack. Screw them lol.

I don't get why people from the CLT area and points east are worried about qpf, this isn't like the gulf coast storm where we were praying for flurries to an inch of snow at best. We still have qpf, it just won't be the super storm models had it earlier. Which is better for us when it comes to snow vs. an ice storm or just plain rain
 
Oh we here!!just waiting for a few more model runs before we get excited
Do you think us folks here in far northern Alabama still have a chance i did see that tennessee pulled the trigger on issuing a winter storm watch. But i wonder will us peeps in the tennessee valley be next 1739738423031.png
 
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Mitch thoughts on CAE
I am thinking rain around 32°-35°. Could see areas just Northeast of CAE seeing some icing. Cold source will actually be better North & kinda Northeast of us. Could also see us getting a light glaze, just don’t see it being a huge deal.
 
I am still very concerned about ice south of Raleigh, even down around Fayetteville just south of me. Although if the snow line keeps nudging closer there may be more sleet involved down this way.
 
The air will be plenty cold after this storm and there are already rumblings about another storm this coming weekend. My wife's birthday is Saturday. I have been married twenty three years and this will be the first time I have seen snow on the ground for her birthday since I've been married.
 
Sure. But Raleigh has scored better with moderate to major systems. 2018 Dec was a prime example. A storm that should have worked out much better for Charlotte.

I think @Shawn was right the other day …. If you wanna feel safe in Charlotte bare minimum Chester and areas like that need to be in the game under you for your buffer


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My latest NWS forecast .... What do they know that we don't?
Wednesday:
Snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain and sleet before 2pm, then snow between 2pm and 5pm, then snow, freezing rain, and sleet likely after 5pm. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 33. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
 
Idk GSP changed my forecast in the evening update. This is for Morganton, NC (Foothills)

Snow, mainly after 9am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 34. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
 
My latest NWS forecast .... What do they know that we don't?
Wednesday:
Snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain and sleet before 2pm, then snow between 2pm and 5pm, then snow, freezing rain, and sleet likely after 5pm. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 33. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
You beat me too it! I think they are banking on climo as per last nights discussion. That says a lot as conservative they are.
 
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@SnowNiner they changed it at 305…. Showers gone


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No science involved in this statement, just personal experience. The first January event, the ÑAM pushed the low into Alabama and said we were getting just rain. We ended up with 3 inches of white stuff. The ÑAM is on my poop list.
 
Surprised with how quiet the TN/northern MS/AL/GA crew has been the last several days. One would think that nothing at all is going on over here lol. Overall setup is good for a potential light to moderate snowfall event for Memphis, Nashville, Knoxville, Huntsville, and Chattanooga. The northern burbs of Birmingham and Atlanta can't be ruled out either. Less precip to work with for those of us west of the Apps, but, timing is pointing to a mainly overnight/morning event which is definitely preferable for mid-February.
Kind of a meh setup for us, haven't seen much to be excited about here in Huntsville. Not a lot to say about it IMO. There's already enough model run images posted in the thread by our more easterly brethren.
 
This still a Miller A track? Asking for Lick. 12z had it transferring from south GA off the coast of Charleston. Now it goes Macon to Florence to North Myrtle ☠️ IMG_1587.gif
 
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