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Wintry Feb. 19-20

UKMET is warmer but still has wintry precip. it’s probably asking a lot for trend back, but the short term run to run change today has been the annoying TPV to hold back and delay our cold feed, while the southern wave has sped up. probably gonna be a lot more changes given it’s a TPV related setup which is tough for NWP but it’s not encouraging given our track record
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
UKMET is warmer but still has wintry precip. it’s probably asking a lot for trend back, but the short term run to run change today has been the annoying TPV to hold back and delay our cold feed, while the southern wave has sped up. probably gonna be a lot more changes given it’s a TPV related setup which is tough for NWP but it’s not encouraging given our track record
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You would think with a quicker SS, it would benefit more from the 50/50 influencing confluence, but its just the opposite. This morning I would have pressed the button to speed SS up just a notch if given a choice. So frustrating
 
KyloG said:
Oy vey…at least the folks that stay up all night watching the Euro come in will be able to get some sleep.

Brutal trend on the models.

View attachment 168950
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Unreal, it just don’t like to snow anymore! We get screwed closer we get to the event every time it seems. But still need to wait till the weekend system gets out of the way, then see what we got.


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BIG FROSTY said:
Maybe, but still don’t like the trends so far today. I bet the euro will be a disaster too.


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I don't know about a disaster but it could move towards the 12z guidance which would be an indicator and disappointment
 
Like I said the other day: elevation in WNC can’t miss

Storm goes to sh** and their totals remain the same

Those 3 foot totals into the mid Atlantic are nauseating though
IMG_1525.jpeg
 
BIG FROSTY said:
file:///var/mobile/Library/SMS/Attachments/41/01/F069804E-017D-4DEF-BF10-13D66F6ABD0D/IMG_2496.jpg

This may have already been posted, sorry if it has.


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Frosty you trying to give me a virus clicking on that link 💀 snowmap.bandwidth/jpeg
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Frosty you trying to give me a virus clicking on that link 💀 snowmap.bandwidth/jpeg
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lol i
I tried to delete it and can’t find the delete button. It was from WPC just showing some probabilities. I’m on the road up here near Metwannabe. For some reason, don’t have a delete option with my phone.
 
So far out to hour 87 the euro doesn’t look terrible but too early to see for sure


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This may belong in the banter thread, so my apologies ahead of time. But the fact that we're complaining about not being in the bullseye almost a week out is wild. The pattern is still favorable. We've never had full model agreement with any storm in my recollection a week out either. So, can we back off the cliff for now and see what happens in the next few days?
 
I'm moving to Virginia...
1740182400-UZ260f9lOzY.png
 
I know I’m probably grabbing for straws but I really feel like CNC is still in the game here and there are going to be more fluctuations throughout the weekend!!


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