• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry Feb. 19-20

a lot of you are posting like the modeling consensus didn't have wilmington getting shutout during the coastal a few weeks ago at this range

Yeah, people are acting like this is locked in...it's obviously not. The same people who are declaring the storm is over will be posting photos of their 6" of snow in a few days, SMH. It won't take many changes to change this one way or the other. It's kind of funny people are melting down who are still seeing 2"+ of snow on a lot of these models. Not every storm can be a big dog.
 
The trend is not our friend for us. Eastern NC storm is i've been saying for the last 3 days
Yeah they have been the big winners the last 4-5 years . 2018, those storms in the early 2020s and now this! I don’t see this stopping trending SE at this point, it’ll probably keep trending SE until verification , that’s been the trend, haven’t seen a NW trending storm in a while so I’m leaning that this one keeps going SE
 
Yeah, people are acting like this is locked in...it's obviously not. The same people who are declaring the storm is over will be posting photos of their 6" of snow in a few days, SMH. It won't take many changes to change this one way or the other. It's kind of funny people are melting down who are still seeing 2"+ of snow on a lot of these models. Not every storm can be a big dog.
That’s what the mid Atlantic folks said yesterday but now their 2 inches have turned to zero, this keeps zooming SE, what’s stopping it from keeping going?
 
Yeah, people are acting like this is locked in...it's obviously not. The same people who are declaring the storm is over will be posting photos of their 6" of snow in a few days, SMH. It won't take many changes to change this one way or the other. It's kind of funny people are melting down who are still seeing 2"+ of snow on a lot of these models. Not every storm can be a big dog.
yup not sure where the "it's over for all of NC and VA except the coast" rhetoric is coming from; the *majority* of both those states are still in it to get an inch or two even in the lower accum. areas
 
Yeah, people are acting like this is locked in...it's obviously not. The same people who are declaring the storm is over will be posting photos of their 6" of snow in a few days, SMH. It won't take many changes to change this one way or the other. It's kind of funny people are melting down who are still seeing 2"+ of snow on a lot of these models. Not every storm can be a big dog.

I will scream
100x that EURO run for outputs yesterday was WORST thing that could’ve happen to the board imo


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Just need a 25-50 mile swing back west, to get in the real heavy goods. Got the snow sounding and really in a good spot.
Just a 1 hour earlier deepening of the wave,40 mile shift in track, 2 mb deeper etc several ways to accomplish 72 hours out
Wrong wrong wrong! ;) Every back yard for it's self, and mine wants 75-100 mile shift NW
 
That’s what the mid Atlantic folks said yesterday but now their 2 inches have turned to zero, this keeps zooming SE, what’s stopping it from keeping going?

In a sense, nothing, but we've still got some wiggle room in that regard. Also, this is starting to get into short range now, so future changes will likely trend towards being less drastic (of course, no guarantees on that, but generally they would be since modeling is most accurate at shorter leads).
 
I’ve been lurking for years. Some of yall are funny. Most models paint 3-5 inches across C NC and according to some “it’s over”. EUROS 10+” was likely never to verify
as a snow lover in central NC watching today's runs come in, i am positively baffled at some folks calling it "over" for our region. if i get 3 or 4 inches out of this, im gonna be a HAPPY CAMPER
 
That’s what the mid Atlantic folks said yesterday but now their 2 inches have turned to zero, this keeps zooming SE, what’s stopping it from keeping going?
"what is stopping this from continuing to trend southeast" i've seen this so many times before north/stronger trends get going immediately lol
 
"what is stopping this from continuing to trend southeast" i've seen this so many times before north/stronger trends get going immediately lol
I’m just wondering how quick the northward turn will occur and how deep the system will dig. I think the track is pretty solid for now
 
Yeah they have been the big winners the last 4-5 years . 2018, those storms in the early 2020s and now this! I don’t see this stopping trending SE at this point, it’ll probably keep trending SE until verification , that’s been the trend, haven’t seen a NW trending storm in a while so I’m leaning that this one keeps going SE
The NW trend used to be a thing but this year it has been SE trend. Where is that SE Ridge when you need it. The cold press is too much once again.
 
Now see that’s how the CAD normally works. You can see the storm hitting NE Georgia and Upstate SC and the blue starts showing up. That’s how I would expect it look but the models haven’t been showing that really.
Recently we've struggled to get this to happen, I've learned over the last 3 years to never believe in systems like this. But ig we'll see. I was surprised to see 12z trends this afternoon.
 
I'd be lying if I said I'm not worried about this being a real scenario in the Lee of the mountains as always.
What is positive imo is it's been wet now for a week or so.

Patterns repeat.
Hopefully this will trend a lil wetter as we get closer.
Hell who I'm I kidding,
Hoping it trends as wet as the Niagara falls so long as the thermals stays what the cold modeling is showing!
 
Back
Top