SnowNiner
Member
I was fringe to the south, now I’m fringe to the east.
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
I was fringe to the south, now I’m fringe to the east.
wow
Member
The degree at which the southern wave consolidates and timing of the phase is going to make all the diff in how much precip can bloom with a deepening low.
iwantsouthernsnow123
Member
I'll be surprised if Euro 0z ends up continuing the southern trend. If it does end up doing so, then I'm honestly just completely lost with what potential this system has.. Overamped favoring TN and the Mid Atlantic? Or more suppressed down south favoring parts of MS, AL, GA, Upstate SC? A lot to figure out over the next 84-96 hours. Starting with 0z Euro and EPS tonight. Overall, with this system; the smallest shifts can drastically change this system entirely.
Last edited:
SimeonNC
Member
What did the GEFS look like temp wise/snow map wise? Fro said it was more amped
Ncweather
Member
Yea I completely agree. People still think our area does the "best outside the mountains" which just isn't true anymore. Starting to think the
put a curse around here 
Really hoping the southern trend didn't start too early and we can amp this up slightly instead of the continuing trend south.
The height field seems higher initially this euro run, could signal a pause in the trend overall but we’ll see
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Yea I completely agree. People still think our area does the "best outside the mountains" which just isn't true anymore. Starting to think theput a curse around here
Really hoping the southern trend didn't start too early and we can amp this up slightly instead of the continuing trend south.
put a curse around here 
Really hoping the southern trend didn't start too early and we can amp this up slightly instead of the continuing trend south.
Nah, that’s NE NC into SE VA that’s 1B now
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Plenty of time BF. Think euro. You don’t want to be sweating temps in 36 hours like most of this board is going to be. Lock it in. You’ve got the wiggle room. We don’t
Yup, looks like it’s gonna be slightly more amped and warmer in the mid levels again
iwantsouthernsnow123
Member
Yeah, Upstate SC and NE georgia literally needs everything to connect perfectly
Still looks really good imo, surprised actually given H5
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Fro what does the whole ptype run look like for the Euro?
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
iwantsouthernsnow123
Member
Not liking even that slight northern tick.. Hopefully that does not continue, there's no wiggle room in NE GA.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Honestly that (euro result) was probably where the 0Z NAM was headed.
Euro getting in range with some good 1hr rates 
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Classic multiple p-type corridors of freezing rain, thin corridor of sleet, and snow to the north…I would imagine quite a bit of mixing going on as well. Very messy storm to say the least.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
beautiful sounding here, definitely close though 
Pilotwx
Member
Our area has been getting that dry slot to show up on every storm, so was just waiting for first signs.
iwantsouthernsnow123
Member
Based off Euro 0z OP. That scenerio works for many. The issue imo is the fact it ticked back north. Not saying it is, but it could be the beginning of the end for Upstate SC and North GA, possibly AL and MS. We'll see how 0z EPS looks and hope for the best.
albertwilsonjr
Member
I think I am out of it it the lower upstate here in SC, hope all my NC folks enjoy it
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Looks dry. If only we could get more moisture 
️ 
️ 
6+ hrs of solid snow with a sleet finisher and a little extra snow on the backend for dessert? id take that in a heartbeat
0z Euro had the highest precip amounts and coldest at the surface of recent runs for central and eastern NC
Sfc temps in low and mid 20’s at 4pm Wed for Charlotte / Greensboro / Raleigh
Sfc temps in low and mid 20’s at 4pm Wed for Charlotte / Greensboro / Raleigh
Dry slot western NC up into SWVA is concerning.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
At 23 (As depicted) even though it’s late season wouldn’t that be 12/13 to 1? Ik normally Feb/March is paste bombs at like 6-8/1
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Those temps after though 
near coldest of the season 
near coldest of the season
EPS gonna be slighty more north for fringe (grey) areas but heavier hitting in areas that initially had good means the last few runs
10:1 probably still sounds about right there. Probably good lift producing dendrites, but the flakes would rime with warm nosing approaching 0 deg C before going into the near surface cold layer. But 4 days out too so things will change of course with temperatures and mixed precip types
was this one just released?
iwantsouthernsnow123
Member
EPS 0z is an overall downtrend for North Georgia and the Upstate.. I don't want to be the "downer" in this situation.. But I'm pretty sure this may be the beginning of the end for these areas.
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Over a 6 inch snowfall mean for Raleigh on the latest run…some of this is probably sleet too, but still impressive nonetheless
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
GolfishardIknowit70
Member
Myfrotho, I know your concentrated on your area, but will you do a moving ptype map for my area around memphis tn of the 0z euro please? From Arkansas moving east. Maybe the proper name is animation lol
Last edited:
If you’re wondering why the storm is a late bloomer, here on the Euro you can see how the positive-tilt and broad-based southern stream wave over the 4 corners sharpens and turns negative tilt as it treks east into the SE states, with some weak phasing from the northern stream diving in
Also, the jet streak over the Mid-Atlantic re-strengthens with curvature, with the lower Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas in the right entrance region of the jet streak (upper level divergence promoting lift).
Now to get more modeling on board
Also, the jet streak over the Mid-Atlantic re-strengthens with curvature, with the lower Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas in the right entrance region of the jet streak (upper level divergence promoting lift).
Now to get more modeling on board
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Would an earlier phase back west kick slight negative tilt ?
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
5 run 24-hr QPF trend of the 00z GEFS has increased esp for central and eastern NC centered around 7pm Wednesday night. Looks similar to the 00z Euro.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Earlier phase would likely lead to more precip, but add warmth aloft, with a north adjustment to storm track. However, we’re probably late in the game here to see big changes associated with stream phasing