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Wintry Feb. 19-20

Yeah I like the CMC. especially around Charlotte and points NE. We scream warm and amped for the first storm and that didn’t turn out well, got a ---- ZR event, don’t wanna do the same with this one. Keep it low and flat and more then likely more areas will overperform modeling IMG_5700.png
 
WolfpackHomer91 said:
So be it, I will go skiing with Jimmy or stay Frostys place. But .3-.5” QPF prolly won’t even be any cool
Rates ect def no CAPE for extra lift with that weak baby low sliding OTS under us. Plus selfishly I don’t wanna see dudes way down in Freaking Greenville NC jackpot again, enough of that…. There I said it, bash me for not being a nice neighbor


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I've said it before, but if have to chase it doesn't count. I'd rather get an inch of actual snow for my backyard than have to chase a foot. I've been completely left out on some big ones like Jan 2000 and Feb 2004. Not only does it not feel like a win that my neighbors got a big one, it feels like an absolute crotch kick to see nothing but dead leaves in my yard. Chasing only makes the pain worse.
 
packfan98 said:
It will be interesting to see if we get better looking analog storms showing up after these favorable trends. Everything I’ve seen so far favors the mid Atlantic.
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This is certainly one of those scenarios where euro is either being bullish, or it may be onto something.. Only time will tell. I guess we'll see if it can someone manage to continue into 0z. Although I am not 100% convinced will be the case.
 
Iceagewhereartthou said:
I've said it before, but if have to chase it doesn't count. I'd rather get an inch of actual snow for my backyard then have to chase a foot. I've been completely left out on some big ones like Jan 2000 and Feb 2004. Not only does it not feel like a win that my neighbors got a big one, it feels like an absolute crotch kick to see nothing but dead leaves in my yard. Chasing only makes the pain worse.
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My backyard is small anyway. All I wants to see is them flakes flying. I’ll go to Greenville again if I have to


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Myfrotho704_ said:
The gefs is coming in more amped. The result ? Warmer mid levels and less snow on it for areas further SE, with a higher signal for freezing rain through the 85 corridor. Better for Richmond and Roanoke though
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So many mixed signals... NAM was gonna be a super nuke, rgem/cmc have almost no precip at all here, icon paltry, gfs drier, GEFS way more amped and wetter.

Probably best to just ride a mix of the Euro/EPS/Euro AI for now.
 
Iceagewhereartthou said:
I've said it before, but if have to chase it doesn't count. I'd rather get an inch of actual snow for my backyard than have to chase a foot. I've been completely left out on some big ones like Jan 2000 and Feb 2004. Not only does it not feel like a win that my neighbors got a big one, it feels like an absolute crotch kick to see nothing but dead leaves in my yard. Chasing only makes the pain worse.
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Also when you consider that fact that a good chunk of us have now gone over 3 years since our last 1” or more snowfall.
 
100+ miles south of 12z with the surface low at hr 96. Massive changes in line with other modeling. We still mix in the Triangle because we suck and there’s no way we don’t mix a lot.

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NCSNOW said:
At 12z Ukmet tracked inland from Gulf coast to Atlantic .
0z stayed off Atlantic Coast. Track wobble 75 miles right or left makes a huge diff i77 crowd into sw VA. I can survive eitheir way, preferably just off coast, avoid mix issues.
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4 models in a row not looking good for western NC.
 
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