ForsythSnow
Moderator
This is too ludicrously close now. How are the overall thermals in N GA looking and is this all CAD's work there?
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for us in the triangle, after 24 hrs of fretting it was about to be an insanely damaging ice storm with little snow... MAN it is hard not to get more and more excited with these trends!!
yeah, I'm still verklempt
albertwilsonjr
Member
Very curious how the eps responds
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Warm nose is pretty weak in a lot of that freezing rain area on the euro. Probably a lot of sleet pretty far S vs the model depiction marine as far S as the NC SC border
iwantsouthernsnow123
Member
Reminds me of a scenerio we used to get way more often, but haven't gotten in a very long time... Sucessful CAD dominate systems..
Just want to warn with a few words, the euro, and December 2018 lol
Full disclosure I was definitely one concerned about a damaging ice storm lolol. Still have a lingering concern but these trends are looking good
Regardless like the trends, puts more wiggle room away from icing and a more sleety setup if we do go back the other way
albertwilsonjr
Member
interestedclimatist
Member
You see guys, this is why we trust the farmers almanac
you and me both! im in durham so was always in a *little* better shape than raleigh if the line cut across RDU but the trends are truly in our favor right now
Hi All, first time poster, long time stalker on this page. Love all the information I have gained over the years in getting into this lovely and frustrating hobby with you all. I have a trip to Pinehurst next weekend and am fretting these trends. Can someone please post the ice maps for the latest euro run? Thanks in advance!! The one and only time I am rooting for a shift north, of course…
Tsappfrog20
Member
It this showing 9.4 inches of snow/ sleet for RDU?
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packfan98
Moderator
What is keeping the euro so juiced up to go along with the south trends? Seems like other models are trending south with less precip. If I recall correctly, the Euro and Nam may have been too juiced up for one of the recent mid-Atlantic storms and met the GFS in the middle.
Here's your warm nose trend on the Euro (850-700mb thickness).
rburrel2
Member
Here we go....
9.7 at RDU when all is said and done?!
Oconeexman
Member
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I mean if it was any other model I'd be ...meh
But this is tryna suck me back in
About the hottest jet we can get around here
Steph
Member
I choose this model.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Too early but anyone got any CAPE maps ? Gotta be someone somewhere getting a death band in this setup
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interestedclimatist
Member
wow
Member
Definitely better than hoping the Canadian pulls one out.
Seems like QPF took a bit of a hit on the 18z EPS 
iwantsouthernsnow123
Member
What's your overall thoughts on it, I'm just lost at this point.. I want to trust euro and it's consistent southern shifts, but we've had so many misses over the last 3 years I just don't know for sure.
Still I prefer this run simply because the midlevels on the mean as a whole are colder
Seems to be taking a hit on all the models, I would like to see this trend come to a halt. lol
packfan98
Moderator
Give me .5” of qpf at least 30 miles above the snow line and I think it would be close to 6 inches of snow. Those kuchera maps have really been showing some better than 10:1 ratios.
rburrel2
Member
Oconeexman
Member
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I saw that on X. Not sure who he is but I like it!
packfan98
Moderator
It will be interesting to see if we get better looking analog storms showing up after these favorable trends. Everything I’ve seen so far favors the mid Atlantic.