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Wintry Feb. 19-20

I remember Jan 2000 and the 20” that fell in Rock Hill, and I think 2ft in Raleigh? Was that setup in any way shape or form like what’s going on tonight and in the am with the ULL approaching ?
 
I remember Jan 2000 and the 20” that fell in Rock Hill, and I think 2ft in Raleigh? Was that setup in any way shape or form like what’s going on tonight and in the am with the ULL approaching ?

No, it was a late blooming coastal more akin to today’s system. January 23, 2003, on the other hand…
 
Something to keep in mind about this ULL is that areas that see snow it will likely be fairly high ratio powder, say 15-20:1.
BUFKIT has been showing that. The max QPF on the HRRR was .17. At 20:1 that’s just about 4”
 
How bad are we expecting the roads to be tomorrow afternoon? Had planned a trip up north, but not sure it’s smart to go now..


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It’s gonna be cloudy and cold most of the day tomorrow so I can imagine not a whole lot of improvement
 
Yeah, even if those precip streamers occur, and even if they occur over our houses, and even if they put down snow instead of rain... it may not do us any good. I haven't been below freezing yet and its still 36.5 degrees with nowhere to wetbulb too.
We should be around freezing when those bands possibly develop, but yea... we're always begging for scraps here. I hate this storm.
 
Funny story about Tomm ULL .... Sort of Sad bc had this Southern Wave didn't choose to dig and make like "Whitesnake" and Walk Alone as modeled Saturdays EURO.... this would been the redux of FEB 2014. 7-10 Widespread across NC and the ones that get lucky with the ULL jumped 3-4" the next day. It was also a Weds night and ULL was Thursday.... Just sayin. I may never track another monster like PAX again but that's the one I discovered wxforums. I wish I still had all the screenshots I took of those epic runs and my point forecast from NWS 24hrs prior to go time. "Snow, Snow will be heavy at times Total Daytime Snow Accumulations of 6-8" Weds Night "Snow, Snow could be heavy at times Total Nighttime Snow Accumulation of 6-8" Thursday Snow Showers Possible Total Daytime Snow accumulations 1-3"
 
I77 Iredell is prime target for tomorrow obviously. Easy to chase north and south and best timing there with development at its prime. The clouds will form over the brushy mountains 🏔️ and just pour out heavy snow. I actually see enough to warrant a winter storm warning for Iredell and Mecklenburg Counties and maybe 1 tier of counties east of those. For 2-4”. - bird 🦅
 
I77 Iredell is prime target for tomorrow obviously. Easy to chase north and south and best timing there with development at its prime. The clouds will form over the brushy mountains 🏔️ and just pour out heavy snow. I actually see enough to warrant a winter storm warning for Iredell and Mecklenburg Counties and maybe 1 tier of counties east of those. For 2-4”. - bird 🦅
You playing with us Bird ? LKN Lake effect for me @SnowNiner
 
I77 Iredell is prime target for tomorrow obviously. Easy to chase north and south and best timing there with development at its prime. The clouds will form over the brushy mountains 🏔️ and just pour out heavy snow. I actually see enough to warrant a winter storm warning for Iredell and Mecklenburg Counties and maybe 1 tier of counties east of those. For 2-4”. - bird 🦅
Hey Bird what about Wilkes, Surry, Yadkin Counties?
 
Hey Bird what about Wilkes, Surry, Yadkin Counties?
Yadkin may outdue Surry/Wilkes with an inch or so. A dusting to a coating for Wilkes/Surry altho need to monitor the brushy mountains they could pick up 1-4” as it just dumps on Iredell. That small micro mountain chain is really important in this type of setup as it snows itself out south and east.
 
Yadkin may outdue Surry/Wilkes with an inch or so. A dusting to a coating for Wilkes/Surry altho need to monitor the brushy mountains they could pick up 1-4” as it just dumps on Iredell. That small micro mountain chain is really important in this type of setup as it snows itself out south and east.
I hope it tosses Forsyth County a little dusting so we can get the storm total to over 1 inch. INT apparently is reporting .77 in (per the local news media) and that's consistent with what we received today.
 
I always say down east which usually means “east of Raleigh” to me. But everyone at the beach or coastal plain will be use to being called “down east” folks
Down east is technically Carteret county but to me anything east of 95 is down east. I consider eastern wake county the end of the Piedmont and the fall line as a weird zone , I know it’s technically Piedmont but it feels nothing to me like Lexington greensboro and more like Wilson rocky mount Nashville
 
Down east is technically Carteret county but to me anything east of 95 is down east. I consider eastern wake county the end of the Piedmont and the fall line as a weird zone , I know it’s technically Piedmont but it feels nothing to me like Lexington greensboro and more like Wilson rocky mount Nashville
Technically, it is Carteret County east of Beaufort, where the people are still a little.... different 🤓
 
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