NCSNOW
Member
Packfan, we where about 18 miles from getting half foot on that one. 6 inches Guilford County
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That icon run is probably 4 inches+ of sleet along the US1 corridor with 925s -4c and colder
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Below freezing down to Florence, SC definitely a tick colder than previous runs
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Icon is basically a significant winter storm along-east of 77 
Pops
Member
Icon SOOO close here...geez
iGRXY
Member
Again I find an along and east of 77 solution hard to believe.
SnowNiner
Member
Late bloomer. I think if we get a storm, Raleigh is going to get the best of it. The storm doesn’t really get going on a bunch of models until it gets to the Atlantic
I’m just curious to see if thing is going to turn the corner or not as we get closer. I’d still tend to believe an icon like depiction is wrong here. Scoots out to sea. I’m leaning towards something a little more amp’d going negative as soon as it gets the chance
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Yep that’s a generator printer, fits the bill with what the Euro/EPS has been showing
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Definitely a move back south.
So we’re inside D5. You’re going to want to start watching those 500mb 48hr trend maps. I’d suspect we’re going to start seeing a lot of red over the SE the next 48-72hr which takes the late bloomer off the table. Just based on past experience
More stream interaction with the weekend cutter and TPV early on the GFS run. This could result in them more wound up together vs being separated and the TPV hanging back later on in the run. This is kinda what led me to believe the icon was gonna be better earlier
iGRXY
Member
GFS trend with more confluence continues
Pops
Member
What's good is all of us don't need much
CMC early in the run has more stream interaction as well with this weekends cutter, meaning this is probably a legit trend with our confluence we’re seeing tonight
iGRXY
Member
And just like that we got a hit on the GFS. But is this done ? 
SnowNiner
Member
Meh. Still pretty warm at clt at 114.
woah 
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Ticking south on the GFS
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right on your door step though
WolfpackHomer91
Member
You and I are at 31 that frame and on
And just like that, boom 
SnowNiner
Member
I don’t think so not quite. Doesn’t matter. Got to have the 50/50 keep trending west and we’ll be in the game.
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Uptown is always 3-4 degrees warmer imo. Even Huntersville is at 32.... This MIGHT be the one you being in Troutman vs even N Meck pays off. 1-2 degree diff
NCSNOW
Member
Pretty good hammer job on gfs triad east. Lot like icon. Tons of ice to. GSO hits 6 inch mark again
Not going to have zr in Roanoke Rapids down to Fayetteville. Like to see the 925 line here
Looks like the CMC is gonna go for a QPF bomb 
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Significant winter storm for NC/VA, the NE gets whiffed
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CMC looks the closest to a big phase tonight so far on modeling. It’s sucking in the mid Atlantic crowd and NE crowd. Just let them find out the hard way like we did
Tsappfrog20
Member
Canadian is going to throw a bomb
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WolfpackHomer91
Member
Pretty attractive CAD in NC.... you can almost see I-85. Climo is pretty sometimes how it always finds itself
Canadian super amped. Inland low just off the Atlantic. Sheesh
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Yep lol, I wouldn't trust the long range Canadian at least for the SE (but probably for the MA/NE as well). It was out to lunch on the idea with January 10th with it being late and then out to lunch on the idea of a phased bomb with January 21st.
Maybe the third time is the charm...but I doubt it.
Edit: Long range Canadian new DGEX?
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Yea 1010 over Georgetown SC lmao...
Look at that freaking Bird Beak from 500-850
Even a more than likely unrealistic super amped CMC run is an ice storm. Pain. This setup isn’t the coldest but the airmass nearby to tap into is very cold itself 
NCSNOW
Member
Mega Dec 2002 Redux ice Armageddon on the cmc gets upstate all up through NC. Ill pass on 1.5 freezing rain an sleet with temps in 20s
Has mby yard with 1.4 freezing rain .
Has mby yard with 1.4 freezing rain .