Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice

[SimeonNC]

3K nam is much, much, much colder at 925.


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So would that mean sleet then or maybe snow?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

and just like that 18z to 00z .. View attachment 75398
View attachment 75396View attachment 75397

Cold rain stings

 

[NWMSGuy]

Another Winter Storm Watch issued by Memphis.

 

[Stormlover]

I'm booked for Wednesday/Thursday in Olive Branch MS. Which is about 40 miles from Memphis.

should have gone to tunica..

 

[Myfrotho704_]

What a joke

 

[JLL1973]

Damn. This would shut us down.

Just looking at models. Looks like they have trended colder and further south

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

What a joke View attachment 75400

Me and you meeting half way from Charlotte to Raleigh

 

[NWMSGuy]

Just looking at models. Looks like they have trended colder and further south

Wonder if they are adjusting due to snowpack?

 

[EV/WS]

What do I need to sacrifice and to whom do I need to sacrifice to to keep my power this week?

For realz though. dislike IMBY’s. Are we trending torwards another ugly ice storm for the immediate Triad? @Poimen, @norcarolinian @NCSNOW @packfan98. Perhaps, those that are more weather knowledgeable than I can answer. This could be a serious situation. Realize that future runs may reveal otherwise. TIA

*edited for grammar.

 

[NWMSGuy]

Well S***!!!

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Well S***!!!
View attachment 75404

Could Little Rock see 2 double digit snowfalls in one week ?

 

[NWMSGuy]

Could Little Rock see 2 double digit snowfalls in one week ?

Imagine it would be of historic levels if so.

 

[Stormlover]

Well S***!!!
View attachment 75404

WX Bell is totally different look, even if you add sleet and freezing rain to snow it doesn't cover all of that

 

[NCSNOW]

For realz though. dislike IMBY’s. Our we trending torwards another ugly ice storm for the immediate Triad? @Poimen, @norcarolinian @NCSNOW @packfan98. Perhaps, those that are more weather knowledgeable than I can answer. This could be a serious situation. Realize that future runs may reveal otherwise. TIA

Ive yet to see an 0z model run that isnt putting down .5 to 1.2 frzng rn Triad. Ways to go, but need to pay attn. Least ive seen is 3k nam and its almost double whats required for a wsw.The Canadian suite would rival Dec 2002 epic. Just watch trends, how the deck gets shuffled over GL,NE will tell the tale. Storm ,qpf is coming no doubt. Lot of minuscule details to iron out, that have big impact on whats gonna unfold.

 

[JLL1973]

WX Bell is totally different look, even if you add sleet and freezing rain to snow it doesn't cover all of that

Tropical tidbits snowfall maps are dreadful

 

[NCHighCountryWX]

Updated WPC ice > .25”

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Updated WPC ice > .25”

View attachment 75405

Yikes for GSO

 

[NCSNOW]

Thats a stout warmnose between 1300-2800 feet wiggeling around. So when its dumping rain it will fight hard to beat on the cad. Might be somewhat saving grace if your 31.5 ar surface, below 31 and closer you hang around 30-29 it will pile up fast

 

[smast16]

For realz though. dislike IMBY’s. Are we trending torwards another ugly ice storm for the immediate Triad? @Poimen, @norcarolinian @NCSNOW @packfan98. Perhaps, those that are more weather knowledgeable than I can answer. This could be a serious situation. Realize that future runs may reveal otherwise. TIA

*edited for grammar.

Yea, I'm wanting to see tomorrow's run hold true before I start to really worry. If the models are going to reverse course and start showing warmer trends, they'll probably start tomorrow. <-- that maybe a wish cast, but I'll own it.

 

[EV/WS]

Ive yet to see an 0z model run that isnt putting down .5 to 1.2 frzng rn Triad. Ways to go, but need to pay attn. Least ive seen is 3k nam and its almost double whats required for a wsw.The Canadian suite would rival Dec 2002 epic. Just watch trends, how the deck gets shuffled over GL,NE will tell the tale. Storm ,qpf is coming no doubt. Lot of minuscule details to iron out, that have big impact on whats gonna unfold.

Thank you, for the reply. Not that I would appreciate weeks of lights out so much. But, again hoping trends change for sure !!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Wxbells ptype map looking kinda sus

 

[EV/WS]

Yea, I'm wanting to see tomorrow's run hold true before I start to really worry. If the models are going to reverse course and start showing warmer trends, they'll probably start tomorrow. <-- that maybe a wish cast, but I'll own it.

Thank you, sir. my hopes as well.

 

[Brent]

What an unbelievable week here can we top the 3-4 inches last night that has not melted at all really

 

[Stephenb888]

My mind is blown at how bad South Carolina sucks at getting any winter weather. I give up.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

WOW what a trend inside medium to short range

 

[Webberweather53]

WOW what a trend inside medium to short range
View attachment 75411

Oh boy! Even colder rain! Pants combustion

 

[NCSNOW]

Oh boy! Even colder rain! Pants combustion

We are masters of low to mid 30s rain. I just had a thunderstorm at 36 degrees. Been precipitating between 31-36 almost non stop since last Thursday here. The 36 was as warm as its been whole time. Most incredible fail fest of all time.

 

[BHS1975]

We are masters of low to mid 30s rain. I just had a thunderstorm at 36 degrees. Been precipitating between 31-36 almost non stop since last Thursday here. The 36 was as warm as its been whole time. Most incredible fail fest of all time.

I've never seen it rain so much in my life. It's like a swamp everywhere.


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[NCSNOW]

The "call in FEMA now before its to late" model is out to hr42. Looks like 12z, maybe shade colder so far. But looks almost identical.

 

[RollTide18]

Down here in Greenville, AL (south Alabama) and it is Snowing!!

 

[NCSNOW]

Lights out

 

[Bham 99]

What an unbelievable week here can we top the 3-4 inches last night that has not melted at all reallyView attachment 75409

I guess your five or six years of waiting on snow has paid off sir.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s literally mush out here, if we can continue the heavy rains into spring then that may contribute to more storms in summer (higher DPs)

 

[mrdaddyman]

WOW what a trend inside medium to short range
View attachment 75411

Any chance we can trend this right on to a monster coastal, lol!

 

[SimeonNC]

@Myfrotho704_ Maybe you can finally get pics of glazed tree branches if this trends cold enough

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

View attachment 75373

Too bad that high is not in PA.

 

[John1122]

I want to believe but been burned a few times this week already.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Jesus look at the trends out west

 

[MSnowAtl]

View attachment 75427

Jesus look at the trends out west

Is that bad

 

[John1122]

HRRR and RAP bringing big snows across all of North Miss, Tennessee, North Alabama, with it still snowing by the end of each of their runs. Heavy sleet across NW. Georgia on both models with some snow down on the RAP in the Dade/Walker and maybe Catoosa county areas.