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Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice

ryan1234 said:
I mean technically we still have a good 2 days for things to trend farther south. From the beginning of this winter I have always said if we get a storm it's going to sneak up on us at the last minute. Right now I am just looking at trends which keep pushing the ice threat south. Again, I don't think I'd be sleeping on this storm quite yet. I know how much you want your 33 thunder rain. But what about 29 and thunder ZR? Lol.
Click to expand...
Who knows... maybe if we’re lucky.. a 29 degree raging thundersleet
 
Nam was definitely showing the lesser snow totals for this area 2 days out. Euro was a disaster showing big snow totals up till early this morning when all other models had already hinted at lesser snow amounts. 5 years ago when the euro showed big totals a day out it was a lock. Haven’t seen the latest run but previous run of the nam showing much less snow then the gfs and euro so I’m not betting against it.
Just wanted to add I was comparing today’s system with Wednesday into Thursday’s system.
 
32/23 at 1am Thursday for my location, according to the NAM.
 
NAM
Has been super consistent with the ZR footprint, around the typical climo favored areas
 
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