I think it’s a key player but I also think if it is the case than slowly this is only going to continue to look worse
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Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
JLL1973
Member
Second winter storm warning this week for me. Just don’t see that around here very often
Brent
Member
Yeah I find it hard to believe it snows til morning and only snows a couple inches especially with snow still on the ground and temps around 20
SimeonNC
Member
I'm surprised GSP placed Mecklenburg county under a watch.
The question will be how quickly precipitation can fill in over DFW late tonight/early tomorrow before it move eastward. The other models aren't as quick to do so, and everything blows up just to the east.
Huge bust potential either way with the instablity, lift and moisture advertised.
Brent
Member
Yeah a big range possible for sure
Super tiny flakes just started here
I feel better being north of DFW for once lol
Northern parts of the counties could be closer to big issues vs the southern
As Webb has said, 850s are not supportive of much, if any sleet. I've found that for all ATL sig. sleet with wedging that 850s were usually ~+1 to +3. For ZR, +3 to +8 has been the most prime when there's a good wedge.
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D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
I just can't stop thinking about the GFS holding GSO at 29 much of the day Thursday. That's a warning shot if there ever was one.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Is 1-3 inches of snow before switching a good bet here in Roanoke, VA? Currently thinking somewhere between Nam and gfs. Nam IMO is too aggressive with warm nose up here but gfs not aggressive enough.
Snownut
Member
Winter storm watch here in Northern upstate, And just what we don't need or Want Ice!
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What’s the icon show?
Avalanche
Member
Unless March has something historic for us, Im pulling for this one.
I hear you, lol.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Watch out TX and OK
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
I'm pretty good but I ain't that good.
CAA is happening. Temps are falling like a rock!
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
18Z GFS/12Z Euro suite consensus averages ~0.25" of qpf. I think the NWS' raise from 1" to 1-3" was a good move. Assuming 0.25" qpf, it would give ~1" if it is pure sleet and 2.5" if it is pure snow.
Getting chilly here as the sun sets 29° with a forecast low of 23° will be watching temps/dews in the morning which will probably tell the tale last few ice events/nuisance haven't had the low level cold like this one will so it has my attention.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Calm before the storm here on the eastern slopes. Temps crashing, currently 21.
