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Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice

BullCityWx said:
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3K nam is much, much, much colder at 925.


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So would that mean sleet then or maybe snow?
 
smast16 said:
What do I need to sacrifice and to whom do I need to sacrifice to to keep my power this week?
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For realz though. dislike IMBY’s. Are we trending torwards another ugly ice storm for the immediate Triad? @Poimen, @norcarolinian @NCSNOW @packfan98. Perhaps, those that are more weather knowledgeable than I can answer. This could be a serious situation. Realize that future runs may reveal otherwise. TIA

*edited for grammar.
 
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EV_WS said:
For realz though. dislike IMBY’s. Our we trending torwards another ugly ice storm for the immediate Triad? @Poimen, @norcarolinian @NCSNOW @packfan98. Perhaps, those that are more weather knowledgeable than I can answer. This could be a serious situation. Realize that future runs may reveal otherwise. TIA
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Ive yet to see an 0z model run that isnt putting down .5 to 1.2 frzng rn Triad. Ways to go, but need to pay attn. Least ive seen is 3k nam and its almost double whats required for a wsw.The Canadian suite would rival Dec 2002 epic. Just watch trends, how the deck gets shuffled over GL,NE will tell the tale. Storm ,qpf is coming no doubt. Lot of minuscule details to iron out, that have big impact on whats gonna unfold.
 
Thats a stout warmnose between 1300-2800 feet wiggeling around. So when its dumping rain it will fight hard to beat on the cad. Might be somewhat saving grace if your 31.5 ar surface, below 31 and closer you hang around 30-29 it will pile up fast
 
EV_WS said:
For realz though. dislike IMBY’s. Are we trending torwards another ugly ice storm for the immediate Triad? @Poimen, @norcarolinian @NCSNOW @packfan98. Perhaps, those that are more weather knowledgeable than I can answer. This could be a serious situation. Realize that future runs may reveal otherwise. TIA

*edited for grammar.
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Yea, I'm wanting to see tomorrow's run hold true before I start to really worry. If the models are going to reverse course and start showing warmer trends, they'll probably start tomorrow. <-- that maybe a wish cast, but I'll own it.
 
NCSNOW said:
Ive yet to see an 0z model run that isnt putting down .5 to 1.2 frzng rn Triad. Ways to go, but need to pay attn. Least ive seen is 3k nam and its almost double whats required for a wsw.The Canadian suite would rival Dec 2002 epic. Just watch trends, how the deck gets shuffled over GL,NE will tell the tale. Storm ,qpf is coming no doubt. Lot of minuscule details to iron out, that have big impact on whats gonna unfold.
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Thank you, for the reply. Not that I would appreciate weeks of lights out so much. But, again hoping trends change for sure !!
 
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