I will follow Robert to the ends of the flat Earth on this.
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Misc Fall - End of 2019 Whamby
- Thread starter BirdManDoomW
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Got to love a super goober that uses hour 354 of a GFS operational run to get his point across
Jeez just when I was beginning to think we had a chance. ?
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Robert likes cold and snow just like the rest of us. However, this time his forecast is pretty much in line with Webber's thoughts as well. I am beginning to believe something is coming down the line. Could be cold and dry, but after reading Webber's posts, I don't see any reason why the STJ will not stay active. Now, let's reel this one in!
Looks good here..
But MSLP is hot trash.. #LakesLow
But MSLP is hot trash.. #LakesLow
@Rain Cold this is about where you wanted that vortex, right? ? ? ? 
that low in British Columbia is a PNA killer. Aside: that's some damn cold air pooling in SE Kanada though.
Eddie Murphy slaughtered it on SNL tonight. Well done ?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Ew.
??????????
??????????
Goal post moved.........again
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I hate relying on a favorable strat but this really sucks. The op GFS bounces around a lot but is much better than the GEFS which wants to constantly shred it.
Makes the vomit inducing EPS run believable.
FabFeb
Makes the vomit inducing EPS run believable.
FabFeb
NoSnowATL
Member
MJO is just is flipping and flopping like the GFS. Hard to believe much at this point.
I don’t want it going to anything in black. Looks like it is trying it’s hardiest to suck but time will tell. I think January will be better but I’m starting to think February will be the month the Deep South scores.
* yes that’s a old map but that’s all I had saved to use as a example.
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I don’t want it going to anything in black. Looks like it is trying it’s hardiest to suck but time will tell. I think January will be better but I’m starting to think February will be the month the Deep South scores.
* yes that’s a old map but that’s all I had saved to use as a example.
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Of course it's going to suck. Winter is here. Punting H1 of Jan is still looking good. Wish we could see a promising progression stick for a change.MJO is just is flipping and flopping like the GFS. Hard to believe much at this point.
I don’t want it going to anything in black. Looks like it is trying it’s hardiest to suck but time will tell. I think January will be better but I’m starting to think February will be the month the Deep South scores.
* yes that’s a old map but that’s all I had saved to use as a example.
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Ah yes. It's nice to wake up and see the wheels falling off again. We should have known the last couple days was a fluke. This is how we roll.
NoSnowATL
Member
Yep, the fun of flip and flop winter in the SE. in a few days we will start punting all of January. Fab February / Backloaded / Nino / every year!
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Btw working on my new book called “------------- and the Liberal Agenda”. Hope to have it released on Amazon in 2020.
I would have more respect for people like Robert if he could time line us instead of throwing out random wish casting. If you asked him in November, December, etc he would constantly flip flop. He’s clueless.
The wheels are doing anything but falling off .. y’all need to relax ???
NoSnowATL
Member
The wheels are doing anything but falling off .. y’all need to relax
We will remember this post in March when we are still waiting on that Big Dog.
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Let that PV park over AK in early Jan and let me know how that works out for ya...
But that's how boards work now! It's all about who can cancel winter first based on a model run and who can post the best 1 liner. Heaven forbid we just let things play out for better or worseThe wheels are doing anything but falling off .. y’all need to relax
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NoSnowATL
Member
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Usmeagle2005
Member
Just gonna push it to middle of January, about the first of January it will be then end of January, many February, March, then April... the southeast cycle. ??
I thought after posting so much good about the 00z GEFS and GFS late last night maybe it would rub off on the board and we’d all wake up to some positivity around here..couldn’t have been more wrong..Winter un-cancel, re-cancel. Congrats Alaska in your BN January #BringTheTorch
RollTide18
Member
I guess some are back to cancelling January today?
Yes. Something about a big blob of blue spinning into Alaska and getting stuck there til the end of time. Yawn
The ENS canceled again.
Today is the first full day of winter. The first day people can really cliff dive. I see many of us are taking advantage of that this morning.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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The eps sucks balls! Remember when it didn’t show the devastating December ice storm and GFS/GEFS was crowned new king
What normally happens is that the cold false starts most of the winter. Sort of has become a predictable pattern over the last few years. This year, we've kinda had the opposite up till now. This coming week, that appears to have changed. Now, we're back to waiting for the cold pattern to show up in the LR. And every couple of days, the LR flips back to a hostile or semi-hostile pattern...that is, if you're looking for a cold and snowy one. Would be unwise to suggest that a winter storm couldn't happen, but it's hard not to be at least a little concerned that a really bad Pacific keeps showing up, especially given the trends of recent winters and especially when we're on the cusp of a mild pattern setting in, at least for a little while.
It's a lot easier to dismiss the hostile looking pattern in the LR when you're currently getting cold and snow or when you're on the cusp of a cold and snowy pattern over the next week or so. But if the next two weeks are toast, and we start pushing the PV up into or north of AK, then we've lost the heart of winter, and we're waiting for it to start down the line. That feels familiar.
It's a lot easier to dismiss the hostile looking pattern in the LR when you're currently getting cold and snow or when you're on the cusp of a cold and snowy pattern over the next week or so. But if the next two weeks are toast, and we start pushing the PV up into or north of AK, then we've lost the heart of winter, and we're waiting for it to start down the line. That feels familiar.
It does flip flop, hopefully it flip flops back at 12z. Still better than the GEFS though.
Should be a glorious run of the American model coming up. -EPO will go *poof* and our cold air will evacuate to the wrong side of the globe. January will look bleak for us and the little Russian weather nerds will be so happy. Can’t wait to do a 500mb trend gif. I call dibs
I swear the PV slips into Alaska for one run and it’s a guaranteed winter cancel and torch for us ... give me a break guys we’re better than this .. I know we’re not all that doom gloom guy always posting on here ... let’s have some reason and know one model run of a trash set of models that haven’t been doing well in medium and long range shouldn’t detour us into a frenzy ..
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Not to mention we've had storms in bad patterns before. We've had perfect setups and no storm, so instead it's best to look for reasonable potentials that stick in time frames vs trying to get a perfect -NAO, +PNA, and -AO, some SSW event, sloshing cold air, etc.
Hahaha gotta love the whamby threadWhamby thread!
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