Got to build the AK snow cover, to get our wedges right!
Prepare for the fire ants and smelly a$$ Bradford pear trees, winter is nowhere in sight !!!!
Got to build the AK snow cover, to get our wedges right!
where's brick at, I could use his reassurement that everything will be ok
Yes winter is in sight... It's on TVPrepare for the fire ants and smelly a$$ Bradford pear trees, winter is nowhere in sight !!!!
Yes winter is in sight... It's on TV
And it's in Canada, Alaska. We're under a fishIt’s on the 700 hour CFS
sure you don't have digits reversed?Euro must have been awesome!
I’m gonna enjoy my after Christmas 70s
Just looking at the SE US, @pcbjr didn't benefit from 2/12/14 and @WeatherDawg87 in far south GA may not have either. Also, yours truly didn't. The last true SE board wider outside of NC was 1/18/1977. Of course, the Jan of 1985 extreme cold wave was arguably the greatest winter event since Feb of 1899 although that's for temps as most got no more than light wintry precip. and some got none.
Edit: 2/12/2010 came very close but JAX/GNV didn't quite get wintry as they had a cold rain.
2/25-6/1914 was very close, too.
Edit again: 3/13/1993 was very close, too, since JAX got a T but Phil just missed as well as Fayetteville, NC and other parts of E NC missing.
Another edit: thanks to John, I'll add early Feb of 1996 to the list of very close calls as it looks like most of N FL just missed wintry precip. However, in terms of great cold waves, this one hit everyone, indeed. @pcbjr's homestead got down to 18!!
it can stay 80º all winter, if you and Shetley get rain throughout this summer and I see no named storms within a 1000 miles next season ... otherwise ...Good News: GFS pushed that vortex out of Alaska.
Bad News: it rolled it into Greenland
Next
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It's an improvement, but all too smallGood News: GFS pushed that vortex out of Alaska.
Bad News: it rolled it into Greenland
Next
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Ryan's in on the lets see how cold Alaska can get.
Don't you be rational. Snow starts on 11/1 and stops on 5/1 around hereI swear every other day for the last month has either been winter cancel or winter on. People keep referencing last year and how it’s going to be the same this year. Every winter is different and very few play out the exact same for the USA as a whole. Add to the fact that since we get so little snow each year it will only take one storm to change the whole outlook on any given winter. We also should not torture ourselves in December since it rarely snows more then a dusting during this month each year. Any southeast city that has had accumulating snow recently in December probably won’t see it happen again for at least a decade or so. I don’t know why but it still shocks me at how many people start canceling winter as soon as the first cold front starts to exit the building. I don’t care what the models show as not one of us knows Exactly what will happen between now and the 2nd week of March. And of course mid March is truly when you should be waving the white flag on winter, not in November or December.
We are seeing that look appear in the long range more than any other on the models. Is the writing on the wall and we just don't want to accept it? Seems if that look even comes close to verifying most of Jan is toast.
Huge difference is this year has a clear nino lean whereas 11-12 was a Nina coupled to a cold PDO. The nino ish global circulation means the STJ will be more active than normal over our sector of the globe and even if a massive vortex shows up over Alaska, the end result will very likely be much more seasonable in the SE US than 11-12 but probably still above average.Turn the lights out on winter if we do have a vortex over Alaska like that. If 11/12 was similar to that, that winter was very meh.
Really lucky we’re not in a Nina right now or it would be time to hit the beach.
Really lucky we’re not in a Nina right now or it would be time to hit the beach.
Regarding the cold Arctic/+AO being progged, would it make you feel better that we'll have a shot to finally get the Arctic down to near normal on this map in early Jan?
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Yup. Impossible to please everyone. It can’t be anomalously cold everywhere at the same timeRegarding the cold Arctic/+AO being progged, would it make you feel better that we'll have a shot to finally get the Arctic down to near normal on this map in early Jan? Think of it as a sacrifice to make the polar bears happy.
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Regarding the cold Arctic/+AO being progged, would it make you feel better that we'll have a shot to finally get the Arctic down to near normal on this map in early Jan? Think of it as a sacrifice to make the polar bears happy.
View attachment 28806
Hour 1,000? MaybeWatch tomorrow, models will look great.
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As Webber pointed out...2012 was similar a pattern as we are about to experience. But in Feb we cashed in with this baby.
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I warned y'all not to peak at the Happy Hour GEFS. Before that, y'all were very content, full of Christmas cheer, and looking forward to a Jammin' Jan. But instead y;all peaked and suddenly y'all think the winter has suddenly been flushed down the commode lol.