Ron Burgundy
Member
Way out at the end of the 12z GFS run but sure like the look of this set up.
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Pattern Failbruary Thread
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Flotown
Member
Let's see em
Let's goo failbruaryou know frozen February is going to be the KoD
I’m stuck on my final vote.. on the one hand novemburrrr turned out perfect … December to remember worked out in every terrible way possible … and of course januworrryyyyy was a great uno reverse ? .. what to call February .. this could be the difference between multiple snow threats and a SER surprise attack
Here is another good look even earlier, no storm but close, and I love that double barrel high.
accu35
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D
Deleted member 609
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Looks a little anal fronty
It wants us dead.
Euro probably gonna also show the threat the GFS and CMC shows.
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
Is this good? Looks good?
Major FROPA at the end of the GFS .. sheesh 
Rah mentions some GEFS noise for instability present ahead of front
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Might be incoming on the 12z euro
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Looks like it's gonna peter out. Dang.
pcbjr
Member
Given a PNA that looks to stay slightly negative as far out as CPC forecasts, this is astounding ... remembering of course, these are probabilities and provide no forecast as to actual temps ... nonetheless ... a good omen ...
Good looking anal front ? 
pcbjr
Member
Yeah ... drive that 540 600 miles SE and we'll have a talk ...
Flotown
Member
Need a few more like 9
I need bout 50 miles..lol
Such a persistent +EAMT >> Aleutian low >> western ridging 
Brent
Member
Lol let's go GFS
That's a big ice storm in Texas
That's a big ice storm in Texas
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
LOL, that's at least the third time the GFS has shown me going below zero in the past few weeks. Reality? I haven't even been below 20. ?
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Suppressed event on 18z
Flotown
Member
What's it gonna take to get that next Thursday to come a little southeast
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Move the mountains
Oh 
ATLwxfan
Member
Wow that’s nuts! They really deserve a winter off though.
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bigstick10
Member
That is a joke, not happening. LOL, and that dry island in SW OK, and NE TX..
Phil,
Thanks for posting these beautiful maps!
The GEFS PNA forecast (shown below) after a drop to neutral Feb 1-2, actually rises back to +0.7 on Feb 4 and +0.9 on Feb 7 meaning it is a nice +PNA for the 6-10 making that cold map make sense. Then it drops back to neutral but not til days 13-14. So, most of the 8-14 is also +. Also, keep in mind that day 14 has been biased too negative of late.
pcbjr
Member
Thanks, Larry!
In all honesty, the red lines are difficult to decipher (don't tell anyone my middel name is Jethro Bodine), but my reference was to the below, (which doesn't seem to crack + on the 14 day (odd how it and the 10 day don't line up ... BTW)) ... in any event, we look to have BN (God willing) other than a brief warm up late next week (Thur/Fri it looks like) ...
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Brent
Member
Good grief check out those temps it has trended colder since yesterday. If we get a major snow I think below zero is possible 
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GEFS seems to be liking a mixed bag event beginning Friday Evening until maybe Sunday
Flotown
Member
For where?
Brent
Member
Shades of last February
NCSNOW
Member
Seeing hints of that front lyeing there and overrunning potential earlier today on some runs. Hopefully they are sniffing something out and we can get some moisture in here with all this cold that keeps visiting us. Tell you we gonna be bone dry come spring. These 1/10 of an inch events arent helping the water table
Brent
Member
Oh sure why not
accu35
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Brent
Member
???
You don't see means like that down here often
You don't see means like that down here often
Looks like a repeat of last year!!!