Yeah, Februtorch, golf, scuba, noodling, lawn darts weather! Ooooooooof! And you can see the pattern reloading!
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Pattern Failbruary Thread
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
?The 00z Euro looked like a fun time over here.
Indeed, this is likely to bust bigtime. As mentioned over the last couple of weeks, ENSO analogs like 1972, 1934, 1899, and 1895 have been suggesting that February as a whole has a good chance to end up cool to cold despite the mild first couple of days, similar to the mild first couple of days of January. And what do you know, not only did the last couple of GEFS runs turn significantly colder in the E US, the 0Z EPS did the same!
What has changed? Namely the GEFS based PNA forecast, which has trended significantly back in the positive direction overall! Also, the MJO, which is now back to the cold left side, pretty much stays within the circle on most model forecasts for the next two weeks.
Brent
Member
Come on please verify ?
Parker
Member
Another crazy fantasy run on the 12z GFS, but it is 300+ hours.
Dawg wtf 
Fab Feb?
Yes, right now the pattern as Gawx mention seems to be trending similar to this time in the end December. even the Euro Op model is fighting with itself, its weeklies parameters. Even that doesn't look's stable.
olhausen
Member
I’ll just go ahead and plan on replacing my pipes next month after they explode! Good thing this in La La land.
Inghamusic
Member
Fake News February
I like our chances in February across west and middle Tennessee. May not pan out but we are going to have our shots hopefully.
Flotown
Member
Yep pattern looks better for us out west late next weekI like our chances in February across west and middle Tennessee. May not pan out but we are going to have our shots hopefully.
Philstorm91
Member
Pattern-Flip February
SnowNiner
Member
Nice! Let's see if we can get that western ridge to go all the way up and re-establish the cross polar flow. Glad to see February is not quite going to full on torch so far.
February thaw underwa…
RollTide18
Member
Jeez
Absolutely a blistering look.
All that ridging over east Asia. Watch for models extending the cold pattern in February, I really didn’t think this upcoming +EAMT event would put in this much work but geez, it is
lexxnchloe
Member
Maybe this can turn into a big ticket item
Wow at 282hrs, 90%+ of the EPS members have a raging +PNA. Only two or three out of fifty have a deep west coast trough.