Something obviously got ingested into all the models for 12Z. Quite a big change from just 12 hours ago.
Interested to see the precip maps leading to this:
Interested to see the precip maps leading to this:
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Pattern Failbruary Thread
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Definitely some support with some digging energy around that timeframe, with the tall western ridge in place, it was only a matter of time we started getting runs involving digging energy, no idea where it digs but there’s support for something
This kind of reminds me of the first of the weekend storms. There's a trough coming out from the west to allow a strong Aleutian Ridge to develop as the storm moves east leading to the Southeast Ridge to cut this thing.
what happens past day 7 is tbd, but there’s a strong signal of digging energy at day 6-7 in western Canada 
NWMSGuy
Member
12Z runs are picking up on something! Looks like we have another storm to track going into next weekend! 
Flotown
Member
Amazing how SIMILAR all models are for next weekend...definitely not exact but very similar!!
whatalife
Moderator
the warmest look in a while and it still isn’t even that great for warmth, that ridge in the GOA is still trying to slide east, now we could turn this into a torch it the ridge axis shifts more towards the Aleutians 
rburrel2
Member
GEFS and GEPS look better at hr 288. no need to panic yet.
Most of the SE winter storms have trended SE this winter, so this is a good look
Like you pointed out a few days ago the models have all had this ridge starting farther west and as we towards medium range and verification time it corrects further westward which is what has continued to have us in a favorable pattern through the end of January and now through mid February
Storm5
Member
Gfs was close with the vday storm as well
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
pcbjr
Member
Hmmmm ...
NWMSGuy
Member
Looks like GFS has been picking up on next weekends threat for a while.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
That walk that I just took with it in the low 50s outside with a north breeze was pretty invigorating. Helped wake me up some.
Mr. Golf
Member
The gfs had the system until 12z yesterday and then lost it and hasn't brought it back yet or an extreme weakened versionGfs was close with the vday storm as well
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HSVweather
Member
18Z GFS already has notable difference at 12Z Sunday.
HSVweather
Member
