Pattern Failbruary Thread

[HSVweather]

12Z vs 18z GFS for 0z Monday

 

[BNAwx]

Looks like GFS has been picking up on next weekends threat for a while.


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It

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It’ll be hard to beat last Valentines Day here in Nashville. We had freezing rain, over an inch of sleet followed by about 4 inches of snow.

 

[HSVweather]

 

[Flotown]

Any ensemble support?

 

[pcbjr]

You wanna look at forever into never-never land? ....

COD NEXLAB: Numerical Models

Check out COD Meteorology's Numerical Model Viewer

weather.cod.edu

 

[Storm5]

I'm all in for the vday weekend storm . Want a big cutting phaser . Let's reel it in


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[Ollie Williams]

Kind of reminds of January 2018 with that jet streak.

 

[HSVweather]

Through 192

 

[HSVweather]

Update through 222

 

[Spurs up]

Update through 222
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that's pitiful lol

 

[Flotown]

Update through 222
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Not much support...a little noise but mehh...but still early

 

[HSVweather]

that's pitiful lol

Yes, but improvement from 12Z. Potential for much more.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

that's pitiful lol

If anyone knows anything about winter storms down here they usually aren’t going to be shown on every ensemble this far out .. that’s why looking at individual members isn’t helpful In determining whether we have a legit threat.. all players are on the field and now we slowly try to mold them into our storm as we get closer .. still plenty of time for this one

 

[tennessee storm]

Not much support...a little noise but mehh...but still early

Memphis nws atready biting on a winter system late in forecast period

 

[WEATHERBOYROY]

I think this time period is very interesting....with the exception of the 6z gfs where the southern stream was extremely supressed....the last couple of days of gfs runs has been close to something big for north Miss, Al, Ga ..... 500 mb looks good on 12z Canadian,, we are due?

 

[Usmeagle2005]

I think this time period is very interesting....with the exception of the 6z gfs where the southern stream was extremely supressed....the last couple of days has been close to something big for north Miss, Al, Ga .....we are due?

It’s true, we have been 50 miles from 3+ inches and have gotten nothing 3 times this year, that will drive you nuts.

 

[Montanasnow30]

I think this time period is very interesting....with the exception of the 6z gfs where the southern stream was extremely supressed....the last couple of days of gfs runs has been close to something big for north Miss, Al, Ga ..... 500 mb looks good on 12z Canadian,, we are due?

I believe south Miss, Al and south Ga is long overdue as well areas south of I-20 definitely deserves something a bit more

 

[BullCityWx]

I believe south Miss, Al and south Ga is long overdue as well areas south of I-20 definitely deserves something a bit more

How can one be due for that in that part of the country? That’s like saying charlotte is due for another Hugo or an EF-5

 

[tennessee storm]

How can one be due for that in that part of the country? That’s like saying charlotte is due for another Hugo or an EF-5

This be more likely I 40 storm to perhaps tip I 20 region

 

[Flotown]

Memphis nws atready biting on a winter system late in forecast period

Sweeet