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Pattern Failbruary Thread

Looking at OPs over ensembles especially in the long range is the fastest way to get the wrong result. All the signals are showing a prolonged cold extension with a potential of the southern jet ramping up some as the La Nina is starting to break down. Don't know about any winter storms but God did create the equation of Cold first + active southern jet = Winter storms in the southeast so I would expect at least one more before the end of the month.
 
Robert West said:
I thought this tweet was really great regarding the event yesterday and today as far as the mixing line. NAM gets dissed on a lot, and rightfully so at long range, but sometimes it does a great job with sniffing out a stronger warm nose under 24-48 hours.

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Absolutely agree there - when that warm nose shows up, you'd best listen.
 
Heelyes said:
I'm not as good at reading these maps as most on here but I don't see a torch
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I don’t either, might be some mid 50s/low 60s some days with some 40s and cold lows but it’s not a warm look, just some pretty average feb weather. and it’s a look that people shouldn’t be cliff diving on, considering 2/3 storms in January popped up at/under day 7
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
I don’t either, might be some mid 50s/low 60s some days with some 40s and cold lows but it’s not a warm look, just some pretty average feb weather. and it’s a look that people shouldn’t be cliff diving on, considering 2/3 storms in January popped up at/under day 7
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I think you have a certain few on here trolling you as always. They are either warmanistas or trying to use reverse psychology......on the weather of all things. The pattern remains ripe. Keep on keeping on.
 
DixieBlizzard said:
I think you have a certain few on here trolling you as always. They are either warmanistas or trying to use reverse psychology......on the weather of all things. The pattern remains ripe. Keep on keeping on.
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Yup. I love warm weather myself but I see nothing in this pattern that suggests warm other then a few days
 
If we keep popping a +PNA as depicted it's going to be extremely difficult to get any warm weather in here. Today is the first day I have been even close to 60 degrees since the beginning of the month and that's because of a cold front pumping "warm" air out ahead of it. If you like cold and winter storms, this pattern as depicted is likely to deliver again for at least another 2-3 weeks,
 
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