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Pattern Failbruary Thread
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
WXinCanton
Member
58, went to grab some coffee, hoodie, shorts flip flops. Feels way warmer. Would be playing golf if all the courses weren't soaked,
Nice 
Even the 06z EPS is backing off the cold significantly to our north, this is awesome !
Talk about massive warm adjustments went from low 40s/20 to 50/31, that cold seemingly getting beat back ?
I was promised 80s. Major sweating from a SER of doom. They vanished. Now low humidity warm ish afternoons and cold mornings looks great for everyone!
BelmontWX79
Member
It's been the trend this year even in January to have these arctic outbreaks in the midrange not verify. Looks like I will not have a single reading in the teens this winter.
Delta Thunder
Member
And poof! Arctic outbreak is gone and no severe cold on this mornings models through the 10th of March! Daffodils are blooming here now and spring peepers making their noise in the swamps. In North Mississippi, Pear trees will be in full bloom by the 10th with this modeled warmth! Welcome Spring!
Brent
Member
Meanwhile out here we just went from mid 60s at midnight to low to mid 20s ?
Friday still has a shot
Delta Thunder
Member
Yes. Your climate certainly strikes me as Midwestern in many ways despite your latitude.
Brent
Member
Fronts are definitely legit here
There are places in South Texas that hit 90s yesterday
And there were a couple tornado warnings to my south last night
Damn it 
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I think there was like a 100 degree difference in temps between the Dakotas and parts of Texas yesterday. I guess that's not terribly uncommon though.
Brent
Member
Yeah it's not unheard of that's for sure. Back in 1911 OKC had a 66 degree drop in one day ?
Also there was a tornado an hour before a blizzard in Wisconsin
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
You have to admit that the US has some really fascinating weather. I can't think of any other country that can compete with our extremes.
Brent
Member
We have way more tornadoes than anywhere too
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Now if that verifies
The 12Z GFS/GEFS still sucks for cold vs the 0Z and earlier runs. Granted, it is colder than 6Z, but keep in mind that the 6Z was much warmer than the 0Z. The 12Z is a good bit warmer than 0Z and the 0Z was quite a bit warmer than yesterday’s runs.
So, overall not good news for cold lovers:
Here is today’s 12Z vs 0Z GEFS for 18Z on 2/28: warmer
Now here is today’s 0Z vs yesterday’s 12Z: warmer
Wake gradient alive and well even with temps! Rip anyone in southern NC that’s god awful
This is not a blowtorch. Above average sure.. if we saw consistent mid-upper 70s days that would be a blow torch like in December. This is average to a little above average temps. Low humidity as well so no complaints really since it’s almost March and spring time. Things should be getting warmer. Not good for us cold lovers but you can’t fight where we live.. we had our fun
Hopefully the cooler 12Z vs 6Z GFS suite at least means it at least won’t warm any further than the 6Z. Hopefully!
Lots of potential to turn those 60s into 70s next weekend, gradient patterns typically are really warm or really cool
olhausen
Member
The whole month of January was one big arctic outbreak.
olhausen
Member
The gfs is trying for Saturday night here. Temps way too boarder line and the 540 line is in Kentucky when this run is showing snow falling. I’ll take wet snow falling that doesn’t stick though if that’s all Mother Nature will give me.
Yep that track would put us in the best of the precip for sure. This is one of these that could be a mainly cold rain or a decent surprise snow. Temps just a degree or 2 either way will make a big difference for us. I think this track looks possible, Kentucky-Tennessee border counties could get in on some action. Maybe we will get a little lucky here and things fall just right.
BelmontWX79
Member
Not really. Has it been cold and below normal? Yes. But the brutal cold shots that have showed up (aka the Barney specials) have not come to pass.
No kidding looks like after the 2 warm days to start rdu was -4 for the rest of the month and -6 for the last 18 days
Models overamplifying a cold shot in an unsupportive background state. Not surprising
Euro has warmed up 30F+ in some spots compared to yesterday’s 12z run, incredible ?
Not to go all birdman but I've seen two huge flocks of Sandhill cranes heading north. That usually means winter is over.
The ultimate model tease! As bad a tease from cold to mild as any in my recent memory.
Delta Thunder
Member
Yes, Indeed. And the NBM held a mild look through it all pretty well.
LickWx
Member
73/58 at RDU.
Brent
Member
Thunder ice?
BufordWX
Member
This is some cold sleet.
Brent
Member
Yeah with temps around 20 probably at best it's gonna stick to everything