Good rule of thumb. When the SER establishes itself in February it’s usually game over.
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Pattern Failbruary Thread
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Broken024
Member
This torch?
Wtf!..
Broken024
Member
Prob right. Looked like it wanted to cut or Miller B ice
Run it back with another coastal whiff? Why not
A storm over the 4 corners can’t cut into a 1055 high!??
?
Is the SER getting more established here?
Is this where we say, "its just were we want it"? If I had a dime for every time.....
You can ignore it. 1050 hp is unlikely. But, the pattern shown on the GFS is definitely not a warm one, which is good. Storm track looks to predominantly favor the upper/mid-south and Midwest into the NE, with the possibility of a CAD or two thrown in. Doesn't look like a Miller A snowstorm situation.
I like the potential to continue to lay snow pack to the north and west. We'll have some mixy opportunities in our neck of the woods, if the GFS is correct.
whatalife
Moderator
We’ll see…
Eh, the way that the ridge is oriented tells me that it will correct to a more -PNA/SER.
Lol EPS looks like a December El Niño pattern 
As long as it stays over the western US I’d be happy with what comes with that .. once it slips off the coast you’re almost always going to get failed by a -PNA and SER combo .. let’s stay away from that
December 8th 2018 but make it mid February
Gonna be hard to get a full western dump unless we shift the Aleutian low west. However this could easily turn into a all out central US pattern
whatalife
Moderator
Maybe, maybe not. Either way it’s nice to see we have a chance at below normal temps for a large part of February. Only time will tell which is right.
Euro looks like a blast after day five. Gonna be phase fever with that look.
Winter has at LEAST one or two tricks up its sleeve. Sure, we will see a run of 60s... but us oldies(and some of you young ones too) know how this works.
LOTS of winter weather left..
LOTS of winter weather left..