Pattern Failboat February

[Psalm 148:8]

I’ll take it!! And run like I stole it!!! Love me some winter weather.. besides! I’m due!! Thunder last night!!!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Holy Icon…

Dec 2017 anybody?

 

[packfan98]

Does ICON have a sleet map on any of the paid sites, it would have to be one for the books

No, but you can pull soundings with Pivotal Plus.

 

[RBR71]

For RDU that's all frozen precip...2-3" of snow and rest is probably sleet...I would hope.

View attachment 168669

Not only all frozen but temps in mid to upper 20s, sheesh

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

Germany is the new Canada

View attachment 168668

Wouldn’t take much of a southward shift to smash a lot more locations, big winter storm regardless by the icon


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[RBR71]

No, but you can pull soundings with Pivotal Plus.

Yeah I've looked at the soundings, I just wanted to see an epic sleet map lol

 

[LukeBarrette]

Respectfully that was a synoptic spectacle on the ICON. I've never seen a QPF monster like that from the ICON. Going to be hard to get a full capture of the southern wave by the northern stream like that, but if it happens look out!!!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

For the people that don’t keep up with the Icon like the rest of us degenerates, that was a massive move south.

00z for reference

 

[WolfpackHomer91]

It’s literally right on top of the EPS ZR hotspot, same footprintView attachment 168670View attachment 168671

Iredell / Rowan Line would be a dream….6-8” SN / Some sleet then .3-.4” ICE …. Keep your all snow … this is the real storm lol


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[rburrel2]

Icon looks a lot like the 00z pangu

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That track is nice, for some anyways

 

[1300m]

For the people that don’t keep up with the Icon like the rest of us degenerates, that was a massive move south.

00z for reference View attachment 168678

Not a surprise either. Actually it and the EC AI are somewhat similar in trends. Not sure that's a good thing considering the ICON's verification record.

 

[rburrel2]

The key is consolidating ourv50/50 closer to Maine. That’s what the euro ai is doing and what the icon just did. Makes the storm track further south and colder.

 

[1300m]

The key is consolidating ourv50/50 closer to Maine. That’s what the euro ai is doing and what the icon just did. Makes the storm track further south and colder.

100%. Can we keep a positive trend going for once? It feels impossible that anything that would benefit the CLT to RDU crowd can continue, but that's what we need to see.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

The key is consolidating ourv50/50 closer to Maine. That’s what the euro ai is doing and what the icon just did. Makes the storm track further south and colder.

Looked like the GEFS has been moving back that way the last couple cycles

 

[SASQUATCH]

Big run for some.

We are SO......BACK!!!!!

 

[mrdaddyman]

That track is nice, for some anyways View attachment 168677View attachment 168679

Need to keep the LP track further offshore than this for the Eastern crowd. It's definitely further West than the EPS Mean.

 

[SnowNiner]

We might get too much pacific later in the month into early March and really screw up what could have been a nice pattern..... again

Yeah, it looks like the jet is way past Hawaii, and may be too much. That needs to back off in future runs IMO to be in the game.

 

[Bigedd09]

GFS even warmer compared to 6z in front of the storm

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Gfs finally shows wintry again at least

 

[RBR71]

GFS even warmer compared to 6z in front of the storm

Huh?

 

[WolfpackHomer91]

Gfs finally shows wintry again at least View attachment 168684

Baby steps lol Not the worst thing its shown it past 36hrs

 

[ForsythSnow]

GFS runs another shuffle on energy. No consistency yet. I don't trust the ICON but it is at least a bit more consistent.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GFS even warmer compared to 6z in front of the storm

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

Gfs finally shows wintry again at least View attachment 168684

LP was a little further south over the NE Gulf this run


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[Bigedd09]

Huh?

View attachment 168686

850's looked warmer

 

[Bigedd09]

View attachment 168687

Looked like the 850 line was further north

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

12z GFS pretty much shifted the whole system further south compared to previous runs and had a better surface low track off the SE coast


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[FallsLake]

Yep, a little more wintery precip:

 

[RBR71]

850's looked warmer

How about a little context to your comments instead of the one liners that add nothing to the discussion

Thanks

 

[SnowNiner]

The key is consolidating ourv50/50 closer to Maine. That’s what the euro ai is doing and what the icon just did. Makes the storm track further south and colder.

Normally we have to keep yelling "dig you pig!". Now we're yelling "push down you pig!!" Seems more and more that a storm is going to show up, just a matter of how south we can get the 50/50, and thus how south and cold we can get the track. Right now it's a VA storm IMO with NC asking for fringe/ice scraps. We'll see where it goes.

View attachment 168687

And it still rains on CLT. Smh.

 

[RBR71]

CMC doing a thing, again lol

 

[RBR71]

All these models showing precip with temps in the 20s, better hope 850s continue to trend colder or the 925s do so we sleet or else we are setting ourselves up for a heckuva ice storm.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

CMC is a massive ice storm over the exact same spot.. warning bells starting to sound

 

[WolfpackHomer91]

Normally we have to keep yelling "dig you pig!". Now we're yelling "push down you pig!!" Seems more and more that a storm is going to show up, just a matter of how south we can get the 50/50, and thus how south and cold we can get the track. Right now it's a VA storm IMO with NC asking for fringe/ice scraps. We'll see where it goes.



And it still rains on CLT. Smh.

Youre 40 miles N of Charlotte man lol

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

CMC so far and it’s still going


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[RBR71]

CMC never fails to disappoint. Somebody getting a major next week

 

[SnowNiner]

Youre 40 miles N of Charlotte man lol

Still waiting for that to matter!!

 

[RBR71]

I'll let others post those CMC epic clown maps, the sleet and freezing rain is about what you'd expect from Canada lol