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Pattern Failboat February

packfan98 said:
What are we bummed about this morning? This looks pretty good for my area at least:
1739404800-y7oYXBmm1ew.png
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Do you mind doing Concord like Fro did last night ? Im 15 miles NW of that so if they look good Id be fine ....Thats best spread look weve prolly had all season at day 6
 
MJO still looking good out at range. GFS wants to kind of put it in jail, but the Euro continues into P2. I'm not too worried about the Pac jet killing us just yet, although the 0z Euro Op certainly cranked it up. If the MJO were surging into P4, I'd probably worry more.

GEFS.png
ECMF.png
 
Rain Cold said:
MJO still looking good out at range. GFS wants to kind of put it in jail, but the Euro continues into P2. I'm not too worried about the Pac jet killing us just yet, although the 0z Euro Op certainly cranked it up. If the MJO were surging into P4, I'd probably worry more.

View attachment 168651
View attachment 168652
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Pacific jet cranks just bit more …. The mjo will take off to phase 3 sooner than modeled… something to watch
 
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Bigedd09 said:
Just like every storm
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it's been a good year for me but shockingly i've yet to eclipse 3.5 in any of these storms

it's been a GREAT year for fredricksburg through to the eastern shore, that little zone

we got 0.25-0.4 of ice the night before last, i was without power for about 3 hours, some people are still without power today. we've had storms but either been too far north or had p-type issues. we haven't been in the jackpot yet

edit- lot of this 1739456747843.png
 
Ross said:
it's been a good year for me but shockingly i've yet to eclipse 3.5 in any of these storms

it's been a GREAT year for fredricksburg through to the eastern shore, that little zone

we got 0.25-0.4 of ice the night before last, i was without power for about 3 hours, some people are still without power today. we've had storms but either been too far north or had p-type issues. we haven't been in the jackpot yet

edit- lot of this View attachment 168654
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Actually same, I think Blacksburg is at 7.5 to 8 inches now but it’s been 3, 3 inches or less systems. I know I can’t complain much but it’s just a tad annoying. Been since Jan 2022 since last 6+ system.
 
packfan98 said:
This is from the 0z Euro AI. If we could get the low to sit and spin instead of getting kicked out so fast, it would be a gangbusters storm for someone (still favors central VA at this point).
View attachment 168662
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Definitely not far from something special esp when that low moves further offshore and cold air moves SE, probably would end as snow for areas further south


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I have a feeling the icon could cook here it definitely looks better and further south. But y’all know a whole lot more than I do


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