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Pattern Failboat February

Is it crazy that I may be more excited about the late February potential? It looks like this Day 9-10 threat is just an appetizer for the main event.
It would be beyond cruel if we had a repeat of storm 1 missing us just to the NW and the second storm missing us to the SE. Literally a repeat of what we saw in Jan.
 
The groundhog saw his shadow at my residence south of Raleigh today too. My seven year old granddaughter who spent the night with us ws disappointed. She told me she wanted winter to end so she could go swimming again. I showed her a Euro AI map this morning that showed the potenital snowstorm around Valentine's Day and she changed her tune quickly.
 
00z GFS is better. CMc coming in better at H5 as well. One thing that’s showing up that I don’t like is that small TPV that’s trying to bury itself into our S/W trough. We need a flat/non amped wave here as our best bet
 
00z GFS is another Mid-Atl/NE run. Maybe Northern NC gets into a bit of action before rain.
 
GFS backing off arctic front the last 2 runs, freezing line never makes it into Tennessee. Hopefully it’s wrong but looks like a cold rain for Tennessee folks and after a early thump in Kentucky turns to rain as well. I hope the euro is right and holds, gives me pause about the strength of the so called arctic push.
 
Meanwhile the CMC brings the front through and brings snow to the mid south. Of course the crazy uncle is usually all over the place. Maybe the euro will hold serve.
 
I guess you could say these were good changes in the long range on the 00z GFS... lol. Make late February great again!

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Yep. That’s a crazy fantasy output. Looks like an even better long wave pattern than the one that dropped snow in the bayou. Better cover those Azaleas 🌺
 
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