NCSNOW
Member
Well over 1 inch qpf with temp 27-28 @ surface
Maybe 1.5-2 + qpf. Those are 6 hour qpf maps fro posted
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Pattern Failboat February
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Maybe 1.5-2 + qpf. Those are 6 hour qpf maps fro posted
This is wild
Brent
Member
Lol we actually hit 80 before the bottom drops out
rburrel2
Member
Love seeing the euro ai continuing to tick south. Tells me everything else will keep heading that way too.
New weeklies seeing the blocking and are significantly colder late Feb/early March
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
rburrel2
Member
I'm not a start warming expert... but I'd assume this complete destruction/total warming at the end of the 12z GFS run would be pretty anomalous? Neat to look at either way.
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
1050HP dropping south out of Alberta on the 18z GFS
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
This GFS run isn’t gonna be great due to that out of nowhere TPV getting injected into the main trough out west, but not sweating it
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Poor GFS was doing so good and then loses its mind at happy hour.
rburrel2
Member
Yea, i'd bet on the GFS over the the Euro AI too.
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Are you serious??
Southern Track
Member
Little sarcasm from my Upstate brutha.
That's what the GFS does. Once everything aligns, it will always do what a rebel does and go the other way.
We got the AI locked in. We aren’t sweating an interior NE nuke. We are in the middle of a step down. Be patient
How did the 18z Euro AI look? Anyone got it?
Pops
Member
Wondering same thing.must because since no post!!lol
rburrel2
Member
It's pretty much the same with the storm track and timing, but a little warmer at 850mb, mostly rain as depicted, but probably some solid snow accumulations for Northern NC. Also has a follow up wave that's a little too suppressed to do anything.
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
It would be beyond cruel if we had a repeat of storm 1 missing us just to the NW and the second storm missing us to the SE. Literally a repeat of what we saw in Jan.
tennessee storm
Member
Buttercups coming up out ground . Saw yellow jacket flying around today . Groundhog saw his shadow, spring got
Be pretty soon on the way … lol
Be pretty soon on the way … lol
weather bubba
Member
The groundhog saw his shadow at my residence south of Raleigh today too. My seven year old granddaughter who spent the night with us ws disappointed. She told me she wanted winter to end so she could go swimming again. I showed her a Euro AI map this morning that showed the potenital snowstorm around Valentine's Day and she changed her tune quickly.
Brent
Member
End of the Tulsa AFD 
Longer range guidance
shows potential for a stronger Arctic intrusion that bears
watching in the 10-14 day period across the Southern and Central
Plains.
Longer range guidance
shows potential for a stronger Arctic intrusion that bears
watching in the 10-14 day period across the Southern and Central
Plains.
00z GFS is better. CMc coming in better at H5 as well. One thing that’s showing up that I don’t like is that small TPV that’s trying to bury itself into our S/W trough. We need a flat/non amped wave here as our best bet
CAD regions would certainly have a chance with this look
SnowmanVol99
Member
GFS backing off arctic front the last 2 runs, freezing line never makes it into Tennessee. Hopefully it’s wrong but looks like a cold rain for Tennessee folks and after a early thump in Kentucky turns to rain as well. I hope the euro is right and holds, gives me pause about the strength of the so called arctic push.
SnowmanVol99
Member
Meanwhile the CMC brings the front through and brings snow to the mid south. Of course the crazy uncle is usually all over the place. Maybe the euro will hold serve.
lol. 
rburrel2
Member
It’s not a good model, but a model it is
I’m intrigued by what’s going on in the Aleutians for later. GFS correcting every run.
I’m intrigued by what’s going on in the Aleutians for later. GFS correcting every run.
Two more jumps like that and Drizzle Snizzle gets another half foot 
rburrel2
Member
I guess you could say these were good changes in the long range on the 00z GFS... lol. Make late February great again!
Yep. That’s a crazy fantasy output. Looks like an even better long wave pattern than the one that dropped snow in the bayou. Better cover those Azaleas
Goo 
more Louisiana and Florida snow 
more Louisiana and Florida snow
lol. 
rburrel2
Member
I think we're about to cook.
