lexxnchloe
Member
AI and GEFS going for a full split at 50mb. And Barney is back. Back half of Feb going to be lit.
View attachment 167337
View attachment 167338
View attachment 167339
Oh geez...that is similar. Hard to imagine 2 big events from this pattern in 89.We are riding a very fine line between getting torched and freezing over with this longwave pattern.
The relatively better looking mid to late February pattern on the models also gives more validity to 1989 as an analog.
View attachment 167342
View attachment 167343
We got them though. A big icestorm for much of NC and SC and a snowstorm 1 week later. Feb through mid-May that year was 1 big roller coaster ride, including a freeze for many of us in early May.Oh geez...that is similar. Hard to imagine 2 big events from this pattern in 89.
View attachment 167344
I remember that ice/sleet storm very well. It was on President’s Day weekend. The high on that Thursday in CLT was in the 80s and the sleet/ZR moved in late afternoon on Friday.We got them though. A big icestorm for much of NC and SC and a snowstorm 1 week later. Feb through mid-May that year was 1 big roller coaster ride, including a freeze for many of us in early May.
Im begging for this just so I can still always believe History Repeats itself. And the Old ppl of NC can remain correct...." If we gone get a biggern itl be from the Gulf and in February.....Two biggest storms of my life. I cant lie though I really just want a week like 2014 the tracking, the wild outputs, the ICE scare at day 3 then back to Snow Primarily at gametime. The Wild NWS point forecast for me "Heavy Snow, May Mix with Sleet at times Total Accumulations of 12-16" Possible N/W of I-85" Whats wild that storm woudlnt be near as memorable had I not gotten the Lotto and got under that wicked ULL as it pulled off... that alone put down 3-4" of that 13". I remember being pissed bc I woke up and we only had 9-10". Then ended the Morning with the slam dunk lolPut me in the group that's interested in the Feb 13-15th timeframe for a winter storm. It's possible we have a chance before then too, but I really like our odds around mid-month.
Saying this is probably way over said but we are certainly due for a big February Winter storm.Im begging for this just so I can still always believe History Repeats itself. And the Old ppl of NC can remain correct...." If we gone get a biggern itl be from the Gulf and in February.....Two biggest storms of my life. I cant lie though I really just want a week like 2014 the tracking, the wild outputs, the ICE scare at day 3 then back to Snow Primarily at gametime. The Wild NWS point forecast for me "Heavy Snow, May Mix with Sleet at times Total Accumulations of 12-16" Possible N/W of I-85" Whats wild that storm woudlnt be near as memorable had I not gotten the Lotto and got under that wicked ULL as it pulled off... that alone put down 3-4" of that 13". I remember being pissed bc I woke up and we only had 9-10". Then ended the Morning with the slam dunk lol
2004 - 13"
2014 - 13"
2025- Make us Proud
Next one drops in a few so we will see if they adjust in this timeframe
Not really, because earliest ensembles have it getting cooler is around 15th or close we see
Yes it starts to warm up in February
At 10 to 1 it would be about 16 inches. Hmm... 1988 part deux? I'm gameBest I can tell, it's dropping feet of snow over a big swath of the Southeast. looks like roughly 4 centimeters of precip for the Upstate and most if not all of it is snow. Maybe some sleet or freezing rain at the very end.
Good. That will keep the baroclinic zone out of the Louisiana swamps. Half the battle is already won. We snowEps mean with highs in the mid 70s next week that's pretty impressiveView attachment 167360
Uhm no. The EPS has temps below average by the 9thNot really, because earliest ensembles have it getting cooler is around 15th or close we see
Yep, I will never forget the feeling of being punked from last February. I learned a lot from that period.Another thing before everyone starts dropping the ball on the way to the end zone just make sure that we are in the end zone. That ridge in the west is going to be easy to lean right and thumb over these waves moving through the flow. If that happens the cold dumps to our west and we SER until it bleeds or we wedge over the top. This has some characteristics of the last feb cold blast that was modeled in this range that dropped west
Yeah virtually all of the guidance has that leaner look to it. Far from a guarantee, but it is something to watch.Another thing before everyone starts dropping the ball on the way to the end zone just make sure that we are in the end zone. That ridge in the west is going to be easy to lean right and thumb over these waves moving through the flow. If that happens the cold dumps to our west and we SER until it bleeds or we wedge over the top. This has some characteristics of the last feb cold blast that was modeled in this range that dropped west
I have seen it snow many times in February an March following warm periods.its called a weather breeder.
That would take care of the snow hole from upstate to statesville!