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Pattern Fail or Fab February 2023 Pattern Thread
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
That look at day seven on the Euro could get really nasty if it holds.
JHS
Member
Still 58 and cloudy here with no wind at all.
That’s a impressive airmass for Feb, 75-80T/60-65 dews 
weatherfide
Member
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This is insane! 588 heat ridge over the deep south in February??? 594 over FL...that's going to be downright hot. Summer time temps and humidity.
NoSnowATL
Member
Beautiful.
JHS
Member
That may end up having severe weather to get it pushed out if we get a strong enough system. Something along the line of Feb 9-10 1990.
ATLwxfan
Member
Wow; opened the thread this am and thought I must be in with the North Dakota crowd. All this hoping for the punishing, relentless, doozy of a winter to finally end. I guess all the record cold and snow will push people into wanting record heat in the middle of Feb? I've never seen such a weenie page on here before. I guess there are only about 5 or 6 of us that actually like seasonal weather in Feb now?
Yep. If there are no prospects for anything wintery, even a fantasy storm, I’m firmly in the warm and dry bandwagon. Much better for tennis.
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ATLwxfan
Member
Aren’t the Euro and ensembles supporting foreseeable ridge dominance. The NAO and AO scatter plots are all over the place. I’d favor persistence in that scenario.
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I'm not sure what you guys are looking at. It looks like (from GFS and Canadian) that the 9-10 days period "could" produce something wintery.
12z GFS dew points at hour 192:
12z GFS dew points at hour 192:
The Euro ensembles are actually giving a strong CAD signal after the middle of next week. Also on the updated teleconnections this morning there is now fairly noticeable trend that the NAO is going to be going negative.. this really been starting to lean that way the last several days… shouldn’t be a surprise… -NAOs have been pretty regular once we head towards March for a number of years.
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Well I am happy to disappoint you; we might get this record warmth next week but that is not seasonable until like May, so there's still some cool weather ahead and I am thankful for that. And actually for tennis, you need dry and cool; I'll play tennis in the 50s and 60s with sun over the 80s and 90s with humidity every time!
This GFS run is insanely warm, after a period (d8-10) the southeast ridge builds back quickly thanks to the western dump, and crazy warmth returns, pretty crazy GFS run honestly
ATLwxfan
Member
I hear you. You can take the boy out of Florida but you can’t take Florida out of the boy I guess. I’m good with 60’s and 70’s, ideal outdoor activity temps.
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JHS
Member
Awfully dry to for many of us. I'm afraid we may have just about entered into a very dry 3-4 month period. It's possible the rest of winter and into spring will be like 1986. Hopefully summer is not a repeat of that year though, although much of the board would love a repeat of the 1986-87 winter.
ATLwxfan
Member
It’s totally crazy. Would have expected a bit more CAD influence. Also very little snow cover around.
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iGRXY
Member
Just a slight change.
iGRXY
Member
CAD for days incoming.
ATLwxfan
Member
Saw pics of cherry blossoms in DC already. Nuts.
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