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Pattern Fail or Fab February 2023 Pattern Thread

Myfrotho704_ said:
Man you can’t get better then this ???View attachment 133260View attachment 133261View attachment 133262
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That's a total poop show, I can find many looks better than that. That would be good for June or July. Here you go:

ecmwf_T2m_us_25.png


ecmwf_T2m_us_35.png


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These are at least seasonal. Keep it cool!
 
Looks like the rain is shutting off too for some of us. Hopefully not the start of a 2-3 month period of little to no rain.
 
Was in Enochville today and I wish I'd taken pics of 2 of the most beautiful Bradford Pears..(though I hate these trees due to not being native etc etc..) was just shocked that they were in full bloom. Anyone else seeing Bradford's blooming in CLT area?
 
ATLwxfan said:
And that lack of snow has been the case for a very long time…

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Makes sense that we've been in a la Nina so long that would skew those numbers making Texas have a surplus and further east is not so much Typical jet stream patterns during la Nina's.
 
That's to be expected when a la niña happens is warmer than normal in south. Typically they are cooler in December, but it really wasn't other than the quick cold blast around Christmas. If we do get an El niño next winter, we don't want it east based because that promotes stronger stj but cold air again will be lacking. Interesting to see with a -qbo and El niño
 
SnowQueen said:
Was in Enochville today and I wish I'd taken pics of 2 of the most beautiful Bradford Pears..(though I hate these trees due to not being native etc etc..) was just shocked that they were in full bloom. Anyone else seeing Bradford's blooming in CLT area?
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Wow I’m 40 miles south of Enochville and mine haven’t bloomed yet. I fully expect the middle of next week for everything to start getting in full bloom as I’m convinced we could make a run at 80 on Wednesday. Looking at ensembles at the next couple weeks, I think we’re gonna see some pretty wild swings… especially in the CAD areas. There will be more warm days that’s cool, but I think the closer we get to March, CAD might become more prevalent…. Definitely would follow how we’ve seen things go the last several years
 
Itryatgolf said:
That's to be expected when a la niña happens is warmer than normal in south. Typically they are cooler in December, but it really wasn't other than the quick cold blast around Christmas. If we do get an El niño next winter, we don't want it east based because that promotes stronger stj but cold air again will be lacking. Interesting to see with a -qbo and El niño
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Yeah… really the only good thing about an east based El Niño is that you don’t really torch as the stronger STJ keeps the SER muted. The strength of the El Niño is also important as a stronger one definitely favors warmer than average.
 
It does seems like some leftover snow showers/moisture on the back side of this storm Friday morning for north Al and TN. Models been showing this consistently.
 
Chazwin said:
Yeah… really the only good thing about an east based El Niño is that you don’t really torch as the stronger STJ keeps the SER muted. The strength of the El Niño is also important as a stronger one definitely favors warmer than average.
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Lol so basically we will have this winter again.


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RGEM heavy snow showers. Literally every model just about has some nice snow showers bands behide this front. Potential for a dusting in many locations
 
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