packfan98
Moderator
I thought the same. Looks like all of the major models are on the same page. You ready to start a thread and watch it all fall apart?
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Pattern Fail or Fab February 2023 Pattern Thread
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
Why not
ULL coming in more amped/slower on the EPS 
That’s a RNK look tbh
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Euro control looks even better
packfan98
Moderator
100 miles further south with the 850 low would work wonders for the I-40 crew. Any guesses to why the models have trended southwest over the past 24hrs and if there's room for the improvement to continue?
Shaggy
Member
That's the big takeaway right now. That the euro trended towards the cutoff like the gfs had. Get some agreement on that then we start to worry about the details
Weaker northern stream wave slower southern. Ridge in the west that's building in behind it thumbs over top then fully builds in and the wave gets trapped and closes. I think the 12z ICON is probably the farthest SW you could get this. The miss connection across the plains is really what we are looking at. More interaction=north less we could limp it a few more miles south vs say the euro
Avalanche
Member
Reminds me of Jan 2018 although with worse BL’s
Reminds me of jan 2020 tbh, similar tracking ULL, snow in mountains/NE Piedmont, fun flakes-dusting for areas outside
Flotown
Member
doesnt look to torchy after day 10
12z CFS at hour 120. Again, not a great model but it is some support.
packfan98
Moderator
No need. I just started a thread for this threat. I'm sure that will kill it off quickly. Post away everyone!
Wintry - 2/11-2/12 ULL Magic or More Cold Rain
Looks like the best shot currently is the mountains, but many models have some dynamically cooled snow solutions east of the mountains. We are fighting Boundary Layer conditions and it could be a warm snow or cold rain. The trends have all been good with more separation and digging the...