rburrel2
Member
Yea, I mean i'm not discounting it for sure. It loves to be right when it showing a crap outcome against other modeling.
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Pattern Fail or Fab February 2023 Pattern Thread
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
WSNC
Member
A lot of sleet too
That's how much liquid fell while freezing and how much accrued.
iGRXY
Member
FRAM is still crazy with totals.
ATLwxfan
Member
ATLwxfan
Member
For ATL we will need better cold press and this jet needs to slow the heck down.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Gefs looks better so far at H5 
NWMSGuy
Member
Able to share the map for around Memphis?
FRAM is still crazy with totals.
WSNC
Member
RAH Disco:
Finally, rain
should be the primary precip type through at least Thursday.
Thereafter, the uncertain arrival of Canadian air into the area will
likely hold off until Friday/Saturday, which would yield increasing
chances for wintry precip as additional moisture overspreads the
area from the SW. Stay tuned.
Finally, rain
should be the primary precip type through at least Thursday.
Thereafter, the uncertain arrival of Canadian air into the area will
likely hold off until Friday/Saturday, which would yield increasing
chances for wintry precip as additional moisture overspreads the
area from the SW. Stay tuned.
packfan98
Moderator
Definitely some better looks on the 12z GEFS than 6z. I'm going to discount the end of the UKMET because it's totally different than the 0z run that looked similar to the Euro.
iGRXY
Member
I feel like as usual the models are going to struggle until sometime this weekend or beginning of next week. It will either go more in our favor or less. But the fact that the models are at least sniffing something is a plus. If I had to guess though, I bet as we get into next week this trends colder and a lot of us are looking at an ice storm. We will see.
What the heck happens between Alabama and Georgia for that big blank?
NWMSGuy
Member
Those Delta totals scream '94.
NCSNOW
Member
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You need to watch early-mid next week as well. Western/central TN get an overunner me thinks. 1-2 punch in store
Too warm there. They're between the CAD here and the colder air to the west.
iGRXY
Member
They're in the warm sector as the LP cuts through Tennessee and the Ohio valley (I find that a little hard to believe with that much HP to the north). We are getting frozen because of the CAD, otherwise we would be in the same situation.
iGRXY
Member
This is a look that could work.
rburrel2
Member
GEFS with a huge jump South and East with the PV lobe above new england... a positive trend with one of the most important pieces for us.
Edit: iGRXY beat me to it... great look
Edit: iGRXY beat me to it... great look
This cold but progressive/fast flow look is reminiscent of February 2020, lots you have to get right here, to much PV and we run risk of shearing/energy to weak, but if it lifts north quicker we rain. Delicate balance 
