Mr. Golf
Member
Hi guys. Can someone tell me where I can access archived tropicaltidbits gfs maps?
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Pattern Fab-February 2020 The dark age
- Thread starter Ilovesnow28
- Start date
tennessee storm
Member
Man the 0z gfs is amped up tonite ...
BufordWX
Member
Another rainy day today as the rain train continues. Already have picked up 2.18 inches of rain here and it’s still coming down.
To show some perspective on how wet it has been to start this year, here are some of my rainfall stats
Today was:
The 7th day of the year with an inch of rain or more.
The 4th day of the year with 2+ inches of rain.
January total rainfall: 9.98 inches
February total rainfall: 9.64 inches (so far)
Yearly total: 19.62 inches (so far)
To show some perspective on how wet it has been to start this year, here are some of my rainfall stats
Today was:
The 7th day of the year with an inch of rain or more.
The 4th day of the year with 2+ inches of rain.
January total rainfall: 9.98 inches
February total rainfall: 9.64 inches (so far)
Yearly total: 19.62 inches (so far)
I think the coldest temp RDU has had all winter was 24, which is insane. It wouldn’t surprise me if that’s the warmest minimum temperature for a winter on record. We may break that in the last 10 days of Fab Feb, though, especially if we get some snow cover down tomorrow.I hope this cold is real that Larry keeps showing . I haven’t been able to snuggle with the wife once yet this winter . I know we’ve had cold in the past seven years cause I have two kids . So I snuggled at some point
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ATLwxfan
Member
Pattern looks active with several threats per the GFS. Winter and 
chances ain’t over.
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chances ain’t over.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
tennessee storm
Member
Now can we get the euro start showing threats. Cause gfs is garbagePattern looks active with several threats per the GFS. Winter and
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Ilovesnow28
Member
Right I agree... So far the gfs has been night and day in the long range
LickWx
Member
Record is 23 for raleigh and 22 if I’m not mistaken for RDU airport so yes a record!
Storm5
Member
The euro hasn’t been all that great this year either
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
I'm surprised nobody mentioned the near storm at around day 7 or 8 on the Euro. What a beautiful wave and cold with it too. Dig this a bit south and we might see another storm really soon. Backloaded winter?
Storm5
Member
ForsythSnow
Moderator
And the CMC as a matter of fact. This might be a good time frame.
Good lord we’re going to be busy the next couple weeks at least ... how fun is this? BACKLOADED FOR THE WIN ...
Something to note as we were sharing the euro ensembles and Gfs ensembles the past week ..
I did see a lot of sporadic members in both suites pick up on the storm system for next week and some had some pretty good snow totals so I think we may have another boom bust scenario on our hand.. still can’t believe we’re going to be this busy
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Something to note as we were sharing the euro ensembles and Gfs ensembles the past week ..
I did see a lot of sporadic members in both suites pick up on the storm system for next week and some had some pretty good snow totals so I think we may have another boom bust scenario on our hand.. still can’t believe we’re going to be this busy
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WEATHERBOYROY
Member
Gotta like where this could go!
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Brent
Member
GFS trying to suck me back in I ain't falling for it lmao winter is over here ?
pcbjr
Member
Holy Wow, Batman!Holy wow!
View attachment 35698
View attachment 35699
The high doesn't get out of the 40s way on down in Hogtown and even below there! Freeze down to Ocala the next morning! At or near coldest of season to date much of SE! @pcbjr should be happy. I am, too.
There is some consensus ...
pcbjr
Member
If NWS is correct, high here Friday struggles to get to 55º ... not to shabby given where we've been this winter ...
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Picked up 1.74" of rain in the last batch yesterday. This will be used for testing purposes/for fun, but as a reference, here are what some models have up until the next round ends in my area...
12z GFS: 1.21" and 0z GFS: 1.10"
12z Euro: 1.24"
18z NAM: 1.8"
0z HRRR: 1.07"
Kinda striking how close the GFS/Euro is, even though it's close range, but will look at this after the precip is over and see how much I actually got in comparison.
12z GFS: 1.21" and 0z GFS: 1.10"
12z Euro: 1.24"
18z NAM: 1.8"
0z HRRR: 1.07"
Kinda striking how close the GFS/Euro is, even though it's close range, but will look at this after the precip is over and see how much I actually got in comparison.
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tennessee storm
Member
Remember though the daily average. Temps r rising heading March
They're still pretty low then as they don't start rising rapidly until much later in March. As I said, a freeze or two down to or even south of him is being modeled. Some highs in the 40s are being modeled that is at or near the coldest yet this winter. There is genuine cold likely coming with much below temps on several days. So, @pcbjr is going to have some great opportunities to use his fireplace.
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BufordWX
Member
00z Canadian tries to bring a few snow showers to parts of the south towards the end of next week
Mr. Golf
Member
I know yall are focused on winter weather in North Carolina tomm, but does anyone have a link to access tropicaltidbits gfs maps so I can look up past winter events?
I’m seeing some wicked phase potential at the end of the month..I’m sounding the alarm for Feb 28-March 4
PNA with a split flow. Relentless southern stream. Trough digging into the east. Juicy wave coming down the Idaho stovepipe followed by another NS wave diving down out of Canada..mercy
PNA with a split flow. Relentless southern stream. Trough digging into the east. Juicy wave coming down the Idaho stovepipe followed by another NS wave diving down out of Canada..mercy
And this is all we needed we just need a few things to come together to give us the cold and with that active southern jet something is bound to connect ... connecting for the first time tomorrow .. and it looks to go rampit later this month and early March .. and right now we have atrocious teleconnections .. models picking up on better teleconnections with the next set of systems .. were going to score again folks
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In that particular sequence, who'd that benefit (I'm still somewhat a novice when it comes to a few details)?
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Here is the latest GEFS and EPS that are hinting at something to start March and end February. It has increased on the last couple of runs, so maybe we can have one more shot. 
WXinCanton
Member
I knew it, as soon as I want golf weather we get this. Happens every time Lol
WXinCanton
Member
Add in the rain as well. This looks pretty gloomy for the SE. Lanier is already at record levels.
Be glad that the Euro isn’t showing more instability for next week. Back to back dangerous looks at 500mb with the second really nasty.
tennessee storm
Member
Just fixing to hit on that ... be interesting see what today’s 12z runs show. The gfs this morning had one mean nasty severe outbreak fantasy land ... with cape Val’s pushing 1500 towards north as Tennessee state line . 971 mb slp over northern Missouri unreal
tennessee storm
Member
Man the gfs just keeps spitting out some big bombs ? of slp in fantasy land. Amazing
12Z GGEM with tall Western Ridge and energy digging into the South.
GFS also digs energy down but is a late bloomer.
