Pattern Fab-February 2020 The dark age

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

If you like warm cutters, February is going to be your month

 

[KyloG]

The 12z EPS is coming just a little warmer then the 00z run for 10 day and following. I know this is a shocker

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I should have never said anything...multi run trend to colder and then that. Should have figured that was coming.

 

[KyloG]

3rd Feb in a row of this garbage. Except we are doing it in style this time...amped +NAO/+AO.

 

[KyloG]

Speaking of NAO's...we had a 6 month stretch of a solid -NAO that flipped to + as winter approached.

 

[whatalife]

I should have never said anything...multi run trend to colder and then that. Should have figured that was coming.

Yeah. It sucks! No real trend this year to colder...Just a few runs of cold and then it just flips right back to warmer. #justsad


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[KyloG]

We get a break the next few days but then after that...invest in an umbrella.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

3rd Feb in a row of this garbage. Except we are doing it in style this time...amped +NAO/+AO.

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“Enjoy your ridge. It’s the only ridge you’ve got.”

-unknown

 

[pcbjr]

“Enjoy your ridge. It’s the only ridge you’ve got.”

-unknown
View attachment 32850

Dude,
I love most everything South East ... Folks, food, fishin', hunting, accent, neighborly interaction, iced tea, common sense, chicken wire to fix anything, occasional cold, but the one thing I hate is that damn SER ... I think Sherman left it as a permanent curse ...

 

[accu35]

I'm really liking the idea of backside snow next week for places like MS/Al. Gefs has increased the Mean

 

[Ilovesnow28]

I'm really liking the idea of backside snow next week for places like MS/Al. Gefs has increased the Mean

Hopefully it verifies so places like Tuscaloosa can see something for once it's been 3 years since I've seen a flake

 

[accu35]

 

[Brent]

Come on GFS a foot of snow just to my east? Lmao

 

[Jessy89]

Soco gap between Maggie Valley and Cherokee got about 1/2 inch of snow today. Was a nice last surprise on the way home.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Just got a burst of graupel here #winning

 

[pcbjr]

 

[GaWx]

As high as the AO was in Jan, today's GEFS, which has had a -AO bias, is indicating a very good chance of at least one day with a higher peak than Jan had. It is suggesting a peak of +5+! IF this happens, it will mean only the 2nd Feb with a +5+ AO on record (back to 1950). The only one on record is Feb of 1990, which had a daily peak of +5.9 (highest of any day on record I think). At some point AFTER getting past the upcoming part 2 tele montrosity is when I start to become hopeful for the most extensive BN period of the winter, which I've been consistently thinking:

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s funny how the AO dropped to near neutral a few days ago and we get a little event, real funny

 

[BirdManDoomW]

18z GFS looked good in fantasy land. Cold in Midwest building and stormy look in Texas. Wouldn’t be surprised to see a big cad storm modeled.

 

[Brent]

All in lol

 

[BirdManDoomW]

If you live in CAD land you should like that the GFS is showing 4 to 5 snow events across the north-east. Could really tap into that parent source later on IMO.