You gotta be kidding. Yes, it snowed but NAM was trash for days as seen below. You need to go back and look at euro.
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Pattern Fab-February 2020 The dark age
- Thread starter Ilovesnow28
- Start date
Quiet a few runs in a row with snow near/over you! I think you gonna pull this off, cause JB said so this morning!!! ? ? Hope you get a few inches!
0.5” snow around Elkin Surry County becoming more widespread in Roaring River in eastern Wilkes Co. The most I’ve heard is 1-2” in southern Wilkes on the Brushy mtns. Northern Irdell to western Iredell around 0.25” snow fell total including all snow bands melting throughout the day etc. The sleet line, provided a Trace across Wilkes but increased rapidly up to a tenth of inch near Olin, Iredell where it fell heavy for 1-2 hours. Below is one view of the brushy mtns but unsure what elevation in Wilkes. The next image was in Statesville, Iredell near the hospital of road conditions.
Looking ahead, looks like we may pay for early Feb warmth when temps scorch 10 to 20 degrees for roughly 1-2 days next week. EURO brings glancing shots of cold combine with an active STJ. And nearing the winter-spring transition season can mean bad weather in the Carolinas. IMO, I could see a CAD event by mid Feb or sooner. Plus more winter events in late Feb. I DONT think March will be favorable for winter weather like in previous years where western NC had major events.
Cad Wedge NC
Member
After your massive bust today, I figured you would gracefully bow out of the forecasting business.
EURO sucked. I’m giving the nod to the Ukie/RAP combo
Jessy89
Member
I actually think the short range models such as nam hrrrr rap did pretty well of picking the event that occurred up. However do to the cold bias those models have they where well off on accumulations. No one really saw anything over 2-3.5 inches. However I bet national weather service feels foolish for not issuing a advisory.
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Why don’t u think March will be as wintry as last years?
Broken024
Member
The bird doesn't think, he knows
Congrats Jessy! Fun dayAfter playing in the 3 inches of snow near tuxedo/Hendersonville. I got a room in Maggie Valley I want pancakes tomorrow yum!
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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
The euro had ZERO accumulating snow outside of the mtns until the 12Z run today. It was horrendous.
3k saying half a foot is possible above 5k tomorrow afternoon into Sunday morning
NCSNOW
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Outside of the mtns tomorow night, well be in shut down mode atleast till next weekend. This 5 day stretch AN is gonna run havock on my last 42 day temp forecast. Anyway all we can do is hunt small windows next 6 weeks and try to pull a rabbitt like we did today. It would be worth the misery if we could get a Feb 28, 2004 or March 1993 redux. Dont see a March 1960 (beleive it was) 2 week pattern opportunity. Just a opportunity at a lucky synoptic event possibly.
Coming through Columbus on 26 earlier
Brent
Member
GFS bullseyes me again lol
The only person getting consistent good news here the past week is BRENT we are rooting for you man! Bring it home for the rest of the board!
Well you know the caveats here with the long range Gfs ... but you can’t not like this look for mid February the south east ridge will probably trend again but at least we’re seeing a light at the end of the tunnel instead of long range solutions with a monster ridge
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Brent
Member
And the euro is 10 degrees warmer than the GFS here and no snow close by
Where have I heard this story before lol
Where have I heard this story before lol