Wow, looks better! TrendsTwo-run trend at 144
06z
00z
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Pattern Fab-February 2020 The dark age
- Thread starter Ilovesnow28
- Start date
GEFS showing some big nibbles out around D12..I know I know
Regarding the 12Z GEFS that I just posted, the main reason I’m giving it a decent chance to come close to verifying for a change is the +AAM that still looks like it is on the way starting around 2/20 (see image below) along with the prediction I made last month for the coldest wx of the winter/2-3 week long cold domination in the SE somewhere between 2/20 and 3/20, which I’m certainly sticking with. A +AAM has a good correlation to a +PNA and El Niño like patterns:
What the heck, time again to post still another weenie CFS map since it fits in with the trend, has been showing up on many runs, and is only 16-20 days out rather than late in the run:
Edit: more 6Z CFS day 16-20 maps:
Edit: more 6Z CFS day 16-20 maps:
Euro backs up the ground hog’s prediction late in the run. Although not super hot, spring is trying to sprung!
Ground hog will be wrong imo for the SE at least based on my earlier post with other than some days next week spring being over til further notice. Also, I might as well add some more teles, which look so much better than most of this winter and actually look pretty darn good:
MJO GEFS:
MJO Euro monthly:
AO: sharp dive late month!
NAO: drop late month
PNA: can work with this slight +PNA:
MJO GEFS:
MJO Euro monthly:
AO: sharp dive late month!
NAO: drop late month
PNA: can work with this slight +PNA:
Don’t shoot the messenger! You’ve been right from long range so far about late February turning favorable ??
I cannot count how many times in the past GaWx has nailed these long range predictions. Either through analogs, or a tele he picks up on during the winter that he interprets as favorable for wintry in the south, he knows his stuff. He is the EF Hutton of the weather board, whenGaWx talks, I listen
pcbjr
Member
To quote a neighbor and cohort ... "Bingo" ...
Larry is indeed special at the very least ...
Thanks for the nice comments above! Even with the late Feb threat and cold period, I won't claim credit for a correct prediction unless BN dominates for a 2-3 week period between 2/20 and 3/20. But I remain optimistic for sure!
PS: Credit needs to go to Maxar for their valuable guidance, too, especially on AAM that I knew virtually nothing about til 2 months ago.
PS: Credit needs to go to Maxar for their valuable guidance, too, especially on AAM that I knew virtually nothing about til 2 months ago.
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Wow this statistic for GSO is crazy!
AO dives over 6 levels and is still positive. I mean, think about that for a second. SMH
ForsythSnow
Moderator
15 hours of snowfall here is nice. It would be lighter then pick up but still a nice run for most of GA and SC.
pcbjr
Member
and FWIW ...
ATLwxfan
Member
I’m all in. Long duration event would be great and full of over performers.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Have not seen the long range EPS, but GEFS and GEPS both show this pattern for end of Feb and start of March. Our typical cold start to spring after another warm winter about to happen
pcbjr
Member
Potential nice end of the month and into the first of March ...
D
Deleted member 418
Guest
Good post Phil. I’ll give this a thumbs up.