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Pattern Fab Feb

jamesmbryanjr1 said:
Wait. You’re not hoping for one last shot at a winter storm? Smh


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This is so unlike me to actually say “no” to one more shot. But I’m exhausted. Tired of having my emotions yanked around. After many decades of hope never dying, this year has broken me. I need to heal. I think many folks do.

I’d love to actually be excited about things again come this fall. But I’m afraid another threat that ends in heartbreak would kill my inner snow loving child. I’d rather suffer a winter with no chances than relentless cold and teasing by the stupid models. This winter has just been cruel.
 
atlwx said:
This is so unlike me to actually say “no” to one more shot. But I’m exhausted. Tired of having my emotions yanked around. After many decades of hope never dying, this year has broken me. I need to heal. I think many folks do.

I’d love to actually be excited about things again come this fall. But I’m afraid another threat that ends in heartbreak would kill my inner snow loving child. I’d rather suffer a winter with no chances than relentless cold and teasing by the stupid models. This winter has just been cruel.
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I’m sitting right on GA / Bama line hoping for one more shot.


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This cold stretch and winter weather has been impressive to say the least. 15 straight days here of high temps not getting out of the 40s.11 of those days were highs in the 30s or lower. 19 straight days of low temperatures below freezing. 7 straight days of low temps at 21 degrees or colder. We have also only gone above freezing 2 times in the last 7 days. One day was actually for multiple hours and again yesterday for a very short time we got to 33.1

And finally it will be one week ago late tonight that I was staring at this radar image posting on here that it would take a miracle to avoid a major devastating ZR event 😢 snow sleet and zr still firmly stuck to the ground since last Saturday morning.
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Currently my backyard
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atlwx said:
This is so unlike me to actually say “no” to one more shot. But I’m exhausted. Tired of having my emotions yanked around. After many decades of hope never dying, this year has broken me. I need to heal. I think many folks do.

I’d love to actually be excited about things again come this fall. But I’m afraid another threat that ends in heartbreak would kill my inner snow loving child. I’d rather suffer a winter with no chances than relentless cold and teasing by the stupid models. This winter has just been cruel.
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I agree. Kind of over it
 
KyloG said:
Hostile pacific establish by mid Feb. It takes time to get out of that and by that time it will be March. Winter over for Raleigh. For you guys it’s not over. For Raleigh.
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I think it's over for us upstate folks. Patterns don't last forever. I think it's fixing to Change to more seasonal and like you said once we hit it, it will be March
 
I know this doeant impact our area but for those of you who know how to read these longer range maps better than I do let me ask you a question. Taking my son out to Utah to ski first week of March. They are having a terrible snow season. Any real indication things will start looking better for snow out there in the next couple of weeks? Thanks
 
mjscott30 said:
For those of us in the western part of the south, this winter has been a major disappointment so far. Hopefully, the next system will bring us some of the good stuff.
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Need an old fashioned gom low. Cutters won't get us, lows in the Atlantic won't get us, clippers don't get us...at least they can't be counted on. Ulls are so squirrely they can't be counted on unless the track is just right. Need a tap in the gulf pulling qpf into cold air. Last system stopped a mile short of me. This system stopped a half mile short of me, and to twist the knife the sun came out, lol. Need a weak gom low, moving across Fla. throwing moisture over cold air in place.....and re enforced. Works every time unless the waa is too strong...or it's cad cold air...again too damn picky....might stop in Athens, or way up in the corner. And even then I can get a good sleet on occasion...if it's not the dreaded zr. But snow spreading across from Texas blanketing the whole south, top to bottom....perfecto... I used to see 'em..decades ago.
 
LongRanger said:
I think it's over for us upstate folks. Patterns don't last forever. I think it's fixing to Change to more seasonal and like you said once we hit it, it will be March
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That's what your hoping and praying for. You must not have been around for the recent Februarys around here of late if you know what I mean.
 
nuernbergs said:
I know this doeant impact our area but for those of you who know how to read these longer range maps better than I do let me ask you a question. Taking my son out to Utah to ski first week of March. They are having a terrible snow season. Any real indication things will start looking better for snow out there in the next couple of weeks? Thanks
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The Euro and GFS show troughs out west in the back half of February with ridging in the east. The 18z GFS shows 3 feet of snow near Salt Lake by the 16th of February. Kylo mentioned in an earlier post about the Euro Weeklies and the ridge building towards Alaska that supports and promotes a pattern shift to favor the western US for snow at that time. However, that's way to far away to take seriously right now. It has been a habit for models so far this winter where they reverse that as time gets closer.
 
vtrap90 said:
The Euro and GFS show troughs out west in the back half of February with ridging in the east. The 18z GFS shows 3 feet of snow near Salt Lake by the 16th of February. Kylo mentioned in an earlier post about the Euro Weeklies and the ridge building towards Alaska that supports and promotes a pattern shift to favor the western US for snow at that time. However, that's way to far away to take seriously right now. It has been a habit for models so far this winter where they reverse that as time gets closer.
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Thank you. Hoping for the best.
 
KyloG said:
Just a few more days of this cold snowless nightmare winter. We have a hostile pac developing my mid Feb, slams the door on any more snow chances for Raleigh, not that it even matters, doesn’t snow in any pattern. Avg highs surging toward 60F by end of Feb.

Going to be great. 🙏

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Would you stop already?! Your gonna jinx it!
 
KyloG said:
Just a few more days of this cold snowless nightmare winter. We have a hostile pac developing my mid Feb, slams the door on any more snow chances for Raleigh, not that it even matters, doesn’t snow in any pattern. Avg highs surging toward 60F by end of Feb.

Going to be great. 🙏

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What stage of the grieving process is this?
 
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