Brent
Member
Plot twist suddenly the consensus is west across the Gulf lol
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Tropical Eta
- Thread starter GaWx
- Start date
Almost all major models now taking a path towards an eventual LA landfall again!! After meandering! I think only one is going into big bend of FL.
SJackson
Member
I am in Tampa, we don’t get hurricanes here. People are panicking - a good rain floods the streets and 40mph winds shuts down the city of bridges lol.
I'm impressed that this is almost back to the western tip of Cuba
ForsythSnow
Moderator
ETA is close to backing far enough SSE it may make another Cuba landfall.
Looks like the 12z models are starting to agree on what's left of the center getting into FL later in the week
Looks like the 12z models are starting to agree on what's left of the center getting into FL later in the week
Looks like Euro tries to make landfall in bend of Fl.
If this were any other year I feel like there would be tons of discussion about this storm just due to the stupid path it has taken lol
If this were any other year I feel like there would be tons of discussion about this storm just due to the stupid path it has taken lol
haha Euro slams on breaks and starts moving south away from the coast.
Good luck with getting the remnant center forecast right once it gets decapitated from the convection, models have been all over the place with that
This run is fun. Whatever is left of the center is near GSP at 120 hrs
Just west of RDU at 126
12Z UKMET: into FL Big Bend but fortunately as just a weakening TD:
TROPICAL STORM ETA ANALYSED POSITION : 22.6N 85.3W
ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL292020
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 10.11.2020 0 22.6N 85.3W 994 35
0000UTC 11.11.2020 12 23.4N 85.1W 993 41
1200UTC 11.11.2020 24 24.7N 85.1W 995 41
0000UTC 12.11.2020 36 26.1N 84.8W 996 43
1200UTC 12.11.2020 48 27.0N 85.3W 1002 31
0000UTC 13.11.2020 60 27.7N 84.6W 1005 27
1200UTC 13.11.2020 72 28.3N 84.2W 1008 26
0000UTC 14.11.2020 84 28.1N 84.2W 1011 27
1200UTC 14.11.2020 96 28.6N 85.0W 1013 19
0000UTC 15.11.2020 108 30.7N 83.9W 1013 20
1200UTC 15.11.2020 120 32.4N 81.8W 1015 20
0000UTC 16.11.2020 132 CEASED TRACKING
TROPICAL STORM ETA ANALYSED POSITION : 22.6N 85.3W
ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL292020
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 10.11.2020 0 22.6N 85.3W 994 35
0000UTC 11.11.2020 12 23.4N 85.1W 993 41
1200UTC 11.11.2020 24 24.7N 85.1W 995 41
0000UTC 12.11.2020 36 26.1N 84.8W 996 43
1200UTC 12.11.2020 48 27.0N 85.3W 1002 31
0000UTC 13.11.2020 60 27.7N 84.6W 1005 27
1200UTC 13.11.2020 72 28.3N 84.2W 1008 26
0000UTC 14.11.2020 84 28.1N 84.2W 1011 27
1200UTC 14.11.2020 96 28.6N 85.0W 1013 19
0000UTC 15.11.2020 108 30.7N 83.9W 1013 20
1200UTC 15.11.2020 120 32.4N 81.8W 1015 20
0000UTC 16.11.2020 132 CEASED TRACKING
Dawgdaze22
Member
Further east
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
So I think Brad said no impacts from Eta ?? Does this count!??? For the Carolinas
Brent
Member
NHC track shifted 150 miles east and they mentioned more east shifts possible
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Is that NW shift once it gets over land ? Very strange. Almost always this time of year when it gets above 30N it will move rapidly to the NE or E.
SWVAwxfan
Member
Looks west to me.
Brent
Member
Louisiana was in the cone last night
It is still a little west from a couple days ago
The west turn at the end is possible trough interaction
Brian from Boone
Member
Getting some real Charley vibes here (though a weaker storm, obviously). Wouldn't be surprised if this makes landfall between Tampa and Port Charlotte.